Trader consensus heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video—"50 Streamers Fight for $1M, Last to Leave Wins"—dropping April 4, reflecting his consistent week 1 performance on high-stakes challenge formats amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and cross-platform promotion from influencers. The March 1 Instagram announcement sparked viral buzz, positioning it as a potential momentum builder after the prior "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" hit ~27 million views in its first day but ranked mid-pack among recent uploads due to mixed reception and tapering velocity. Recent whale activity on Polymarket has sharpened odds away from extremes, with lower bins like <79M near-certain No; watch initial 24-48 hour views post-premiere for swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)
第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)
8,100-8,200萬 84%
8,200-8,300萬 15%
8300-8400萬 1.4%
8000萬-8100萬 1.3%
$113,729 交易量
$113,729 交易量
少於 7,900 萬
<1%
7,900萬-8,000萬
<1%
8000萬-8100萬
1%
8,100-8,200萬
84%
8,200-8,300萬
15%
8300-8400萬
1%
8,400 萬+
<1%
8,100-8,200萬 84%
8,200-8,300萬 15%
8300-8400萬 1.4%
8000萬-8100萬 1.3%
$113,729 交易量
$113,729 交易量
少於 7,900 萬
<1%
7,900萬-8,000萬
<1%
8000萬-8100萬
1%
8,100-8,200萬
84%
8,200-8,300萬
15%
8300-8400萬
1%
8,400 萬+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video—"50 Streamers Fight for $1M, Last to Leave Wins"—dropping April 4, reflecting his consistent week 1 performance on high-stakes challenge formats amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and cross-platform promotion from influencers. The March 1 Instagram announcement sparked viral buzz, positioning it as a potential momentum builder after the prior "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" hit ~27 million views in its first day but ranked mid-pack among recent uploads due to mixed reception and tapering velocity. Recent whale activity on Polymarket has sharpened odds away from extremes, with lower bins like <79M near-certain No; watch initial 24-48 hour views post-premiere for swing factors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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