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第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)

Market icon

第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)

8,100-8,200萬 84%

8,200-8,300萬 15%

8300-8400萬 1.4%

8000萬-8100萬 1.3%

Polymarket

$113,729 交易量

8,100-8,200萬 84%

8,200-8,300萬 15%

8300-8400萬 1.4%

8000萬-8100萬 1.3%

Polymarket

$113,729 交易量

少於 7,900 萬

$6,280 交易量

<1%

7,900萬-8,000萬

$11,998 交易量

<1%

8000萬-8100萬

$22,824 交易量

1%

8,100-8,200萬

$12,004 交易量

84%

8,200-8,300萬

$40,094 交易量

15%

8300-8400萬

$9,890 交易量

1%

8,400 萬+

$10,782 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. Trader consensus heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video—"50 Streamers Fight for $1M, Last to Leave Wins"—dropping April 4, reflecting his consistent week 1 performance on high-stakes challenge formats amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and cross-platform promotion from influencers. The March 1 Instagram announcement sparked viral buzz, positioning it as a potential momentum builder after the prior "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" hit ~27 million views in its first day but ranked mid-pack among recent uploads due to mixed reception and tapering velocity. Recent whale activity on Polymarket has sharpened odds away from extremes, with lower bins like <79M near-certain No; watch initial 24-48 hour views post-premiere for swing factors.

Trader consensus heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video—"50 Streamers Fight for $1M, Last to Leave Wins"—dropping April 4, reflecting his consistent week 1 performance on high-stakes challenge formats amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and cross-platform promotion from influencers. The March 1 Instagram announcement sparked viral buzz, positioning it as a potential momentum builder after the prior "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" hit ~27 million views in its first day but ranked mid-pack among recent uploads due to mixed reception and tapering velocity. Recent whale activity on Polymarket has sharpened odds away from extremes, with lower bins like <79M near-certain No; watch initial 24-48 hour views post-premiere for swing factors.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. Trader consensus heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video—"50 Streamers Fight for $1M, Last to Leave Wins"—dropping April 4, reflecting his consistent week 1 performance on high-stakes challenge formats amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and cross-platform promotion from influencers. The March 1 Instagram announcement sparked viral buzz, positioning it as a potential momentum builder after the prior "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" hit ~27 million views in its first day but ranked mid-pack among recent uploads due to mixed reception and tapering velocity. Recent whale activity on Polymarket has sharpened odds away from extremes, with lower bins like <79M near-certain No; watch initial 24-48 hour views post-premiere for swing factors.

Trader consensus heavily favors 81-82 million views (82% implied probability) for MrBeast's next video—"50 Streamers Fight for $1M, Last to Leave Wins"—dropping April 4, reflecting his consistent week 1 performance on high-stakes challenge formats amid YouTube algorithm dynamics and cross-platform promotion from influencers. The March 1 Instagram announcement sparked viral buzz, positioning it as a potential momentum builder after the prior "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" hit ~27 million views in its first day but ranked mid-pack among recent uploads due to mixed reception and tapering velocity. Recent whale activity on Polymarket has sharpened odds away from extremes, with lower bins like <79M near-certain No; watch initial 24-48 hour views post-premiere for swing factors.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "8,100-8,200萬" at 84%, followed by "8,200-8,300萬" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)" has generated $113.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)" is "8,100-8,200萬" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "8,200-8,300萬" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "第1週下一部MrBeast影片的觀看次數? (小規模打擊)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.