Market icon

Trump Mobile會在...前發布手機嗎？

Market icon

Trump Mobile會在...前發布手機嗎？

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,498 交易量

Polymarket

4月30日

$174 交易量

8%

6月30日

$1,326 交易量

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump Mobile會在...前發布手機嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 21%, followed by "4月30日" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump Mobile會在...前發布手機嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump Mobile會在...前發布手機嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump Mobile會在...前發布手機嗎？" is "6月30日" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月30日" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump Mobile會在...前發布手機嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.