Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？

Ended: 4月 1

5月 1

6月 1

Ended: 4月 1

5月 1

6月 1

1320-1359 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$3,509,215 交易量

1320-1359 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$3,509,215 交易量

<20

$133,052 交易量

否

20-39

$44,179 交易量

否

40-59

$70,453 交易量

否

60-79

$47,826 交易量

否

80-99

$53,657 交易量

否

100-119

$32,117 交易量

否

120-139

$0 交易量

否

140-159

$0 交易量

否

160-179

$0 交易量

否

180-199

$0 交易量

否

200-219

$0 交易量

否

220-239

$0 交易量

否

240-259

$0 交易量

否

260-279

$0 交易量

否

280-299

$0 交易量

否

300-319

$0 交易量

否

320-339

$0 交易量

否

340-359

$0 交易量

否

360-379

$0 交易量

否

380-399

$0 交易量

否

400-419

$0 交易量

否

420-439

$36,869 交易量

否

440-459

$41,862 交易量

否

460-479

$0 交易量

否

480-499

$0 交易量

否

500-519

$0 交易量

否

520-539

$0 交易量

否

540-559

$0 交易量

否

560-579

$0 交易量

否

580-599

$0 交易量

否

600-639

$0 交易量

否

640-679

$0 交易量

否

680-719

$0 交易量

否

720-759

$0 交易量

否

760-799

$0 交易量

否

800-839

$0 交易量

否

840-879

$0 交易量

否

880-919

$0 交易量

否

920-959

$0 交易量

否

960-999

$0 交易量

否

1000-1039

$0 交易量

否

1040-1079

$0 交易量

否

1080-1119

$0 交易量

否

1120-1159

$277,420 交易量

否

1160-1199

$271,186 交易量

否

1200-1239

$393,973 交易量

否

1240-1279

$485,938 交易量

否

1280-1319

$793,498 交易量

否

1320-1359

$460,233 交易量

是

1360-1399

$240,822 交易量

否

1400+

$126,132 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in the 1320-1359 post range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's total X activity throughout March 2026, reflecting verified data from the platform's post counter now publicly accessible after the month's close on March 31. Musk sustained an exceptionally high posting cadence—averaging over 42 posts daily—consistent with resolved prior weekly markets, including 340-359 posts from March 3-10 and 220-239 from March 24-31, driven by his ongoing engagement on topics like AI advancements, SpaceX updates, and policy commentary. Absent platform data revisions, account deletions, or disputes over inclusion criteria like replies and reposts, this outcome faces negligible risk of reversal.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,509,215
結束日期
2026-04-01
市場開放時間
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in the 1320-1359 post range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's total X activity throughout March 2026, reflecting verified data from the platform's post counter now publicly accessible after the month's close on March 31. Musk sustained an exceptionally high posting cadence—averaging over 42 posts daily—consistent with resolved prior weekly markets, including 340-359 posts from March 3-10 and 220-239 from March 24-31, driven by his ongoing engagement on topics like AI advancements, SpaceX updates, and policy commentary. Absent platform data revisions, account deletions, or disputes over inclusion criteria like replies and reposts, this outcome faces negligible risk of reversal.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,509,215
結束日期
2026-04-01
市場開放時間
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1320-1359" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？" has generated $3.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？" is "1320-1359" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk Musk在2026年3月# tweets ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.