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Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

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Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?

28% 機率
Polymarket
最新
28% 機率
Polymarket
最新
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halting President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom construction—ruling it requires congressional authorization despite private funding claims—has solidified trader consensus at 75% "No" for unblocking by April 30. The decision followed public backlash, including over 32,000 negative comments prompting a National Capital Planning Commission vote delay, and architectural critiques of the design. With the Department of Justice appealing and no clear congressional action scheduled amid procedural complexities, traders view the tight 28-day window as insufficient for resolution, reflecting historical delays in federal permitting disputes on White House grounds.

A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.

A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.

If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$331
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's March 31 preliminary injunction halting President Trump's $400 million White House ballroom construction—ruling it requires congressional authorization despite private funding claims—has solidified trader consensus at 75% "No" for unblocking by April 30. The decision followed public backlash, including over 32,000 negative comments prompting a National Capital Planning Commission vote delay, and architectural critiques of the design. With the Department of Justice appealing and no clear congressional action scheduled amid procedural complexities, traders view the tight 28-day window as insufficient for resolution, reflecting historical delays in federal permitting disputes on White House grounds.

A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.

A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.

If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$331
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop). This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project. A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”. If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 26% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 26¢, the market collectively assigns a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?" is 26% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.