President Trump signed Executive Order 14399 on March 31, directing DHS, USPS, and SSA to impose federal restrictions on mail-in voting—such as citizenship verification lists and secure ballot envelopes—ahead of the 2026 midterms, prompting immediate lawsuits from the DNC, Democratic committees, ACLU, and states like Maine. Election law experts across the spectrum deem the order unconstitutional under the Elections Clause, which reserves election administration to states, mirroring federal courts' prior blocks of similar 2025 provisions. Traders' 89.5% implied probability for a block in April reflects this rapid legal pushback and precedent, though outcomes hinge on initial injunction hearings expected soon. Late reversals remain possible via appeals or narrow rulings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-04-30
最新
最新
2026-04-30
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14399 on March 31, directing DHS, USPS, and SSA to impose federal restrictions on mail-in voting—such as citizenship verification lists and secure ballot envelopes—ahead of the 2026 midterms, prompting immediate lawsuits from the DNC, Democratic committees, ACLU, and states like Maine. Election law experts across the spectrum deem the order unconstitutional under the Elections Clause, which reserves election administration to states, mirroring federal courts' prior blocks of similar 2025 provisions. Traders' 89.5% implied probability for a block in April reflects this rapid legal pushback and precedent, though outcomes hinge on initial injunction hearings expected soon. Late reversals remain possible via appeals or narrow rulings.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$966結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump signed Executive Order 14399 on March 31, directing DHS, USPS, and SSA to impose federal restrictions on mail-in voting—such as citizenship verification lists and secure ballot envelopes—ahead of the 2026 midterms, prompting immediate lawsuits from the DNC, Democratic committees, ACLU, and states like Maine. Election law experts across the spectrum deem the order unconstitutional under the Elections Clause, which reserves election administration to states, mirroring federal courts' prior blocks of similar 2025 provisions. Traders' 89.5% implied probability for a block in April reflects this rapid legal pushback and precedent, though outcomes hinge on initial injunction hearings expected soon. Late reversals remain possible via appeals or narrow rulings.
On March 31, 2026, Donald Trump signed an executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections,” which directs the federal government to compile lists of verified U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state and restricts the distribution of mail-in ballots to individuals appearing on approved voter lists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any US court blocks the implementation of any portion of the executive order titled “Ensuring Citizenship Verification and Integrity in Federal Elections” in any part of the United States by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of this executive order (e.g., a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, stay, or substantially similar order) will qualify. Filings, hearings, or statements without an operative order will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$966結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump signed Executive Order 14399 on March 31, directing DHS, USPS, and SSA to impose federal restrictions on mail-in voting—such as citizenship verification lists and secure ballot envelopes—ahead of the 2026 midterms, prompting immediate lawsuits from the DNC, Democratic committees, ACLU, and states like Maine. Election law experts across the spectrum deem the order unconstitutional under the Elections Clause, which reserves election administration to states, mirroring federal courts' prior blocks of similar 2025 provisions. Traders' 89.5% implied probability for a block in April reflects this rapid legal pushback and precedent, though outcomes hinge on initial injunction hearings expected soon. Late reversals remain possible via appeals or narrow rulings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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