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政治·最高法院

塞繆爾·阿利託會在…前宣布退休嗎？

Market icon
政治·最高法院

塞繆爾·阿利託會在…前宣布退休嗎？

$49,985 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$49,985 交易量

Polymarket

12月31日

$7,871 交易量

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Rumors of Justice Samuel Alito's potential retirement from the Supreme Court have persisted since February 2026, fueled by his reaching 76 years old this month, 20 years of service, and a planned book release in October, prompting speculation of a strategic exit under a Republican president to secure a conservative successor before midterms. However, no official announcement has occurred, and Alito remains actively engaged, issuing a lone dissent in a recent supervised release case as late as March. Traders weigh this against historical patterns of justices timing retirements for favorable confirmation prospects, with the current term ending in late June—a common window for such decisions—amid uncertain Senate control post-November elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
交易量
$49,985
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Rumors of Justice Samuel Alito's potential retirement from the Supreme Court have persisted since February 2026, fueled by his reaching 76 years old this month, 20 years of service, and a planned book release in October, prompting speculation of a strategic exit under a Republican president to secure a conservative successor before midterms. However, no official announcement has occurred, and Alito remains actively engaged, issuing a lone dissent in a recent supervised release case as late as March. Traders weigh this against historical patterns of justices timing retirements for favorable confirmation prospects, with the current term ending in late June—a common window for such decisions—amid uncertain Senate control post-November elections.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
交易量
$49,985
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 17, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"塞繆爾·阿利託會在…前宣布退休嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 49%, followed by "2月28日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "塞繆爾·阿利託會在…前宣布退休嗎？" has generated $50K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "塞繆爾·阿利託會在…前宣布退休嗎？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞繆爾·阿利託會在…前宣布退休嗎？" is "12月31日" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2月28日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞繆爾·阿利託會在…前宣布退休嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.