The Supreme Court’s conservative majority signaled strong support during December 2025 oral arguments in *Trump v. Slaughter* for presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause, appearing prepared to limit or overrule the 1935 *Humphrey’s Executor* precedent that had upheld statutory for-cause protections for independent agencies. President Trump removed Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter in March 2025, prompting a district court reinstatement order that the Court stayed while granting certiorari before judgment. Analysts noted that several justices questioned the continued viability of agency independence under Article II, aligning with the administration’s separation-of-powers arguments. These developments, combined with the Court’s earlier emergency docket actions enabling similar removals, have produced trader consensus reflected in the 92% implied probability that the justices will affirm broad removal power. A final ruling remains pending, with outcomes potentially hinging on the precise scope of any opinion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$21,775 交易量
$21,775 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$21,775 交易量
$21,775 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Supreme Court’s conservative majority signaled strong support during December 2025 oral arguments in *Trump v. Slaughter* for presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause, appearing prepared to limit or overrule the 1935 *Humphrey’s Executor* precedent that had upheld statutory for-cause protections for independent agencies. President Trump removed Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter in March 2025, prompting a district court reinstatement order that the Court stayed while granting certiorari before judgment. Analysts noted that several justices questioned the continued viability of agency independence under Article II, aligning with the administration’s separation-of-powers arguments. These developments, combined with the Court’s earlier emergency docket actions enabling similar removals, have produced trader consensus reflected in the 92% implied probability that the justices will affirm broad removal power. A final ruling remains pending, with outcomes potentially hinging on the precise scope of any opinion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
交易量
$21,775結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The Supreme Court’s conservative majority signaled strong support during December 2025 oral arguments in *Trump v. Slaughter* for presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause, appearing prepared to limit or overrule the 1935 *Humphrey’s Executor* precedent that had upheld statutory for-cause protections for independent agencies. President Trump removed Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter in March 2025, prompting a district court reinstatement order that the Court stayed while granting certiorari before judgment. Analysts noted that several justices questioned the continued viability of agency independence under Article II, aligning with the administration’s separation-of-powers arguments. These developments, combined with the Court’s earlier emergency docket actions enabling similar removals, have produced trader consensus reflected in the 92% implied probability that the justices will affirm broad removal power. A final ruling remains pending, with outcomes potentially hinging on the precise scope of any opinion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$21,775結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s conservative majority signaled strong support during December 2025 oral arguments in *Trump v. Slaughter* for presidential authority to remove FTC commissioners without cause, appearing prepared to limit or overrule the 1935 *Humphrey’s Executor* precedent that had upheld statutory for-cause protections for independent agencies. President Trump removed Commissioner Rebecca Kelly Slaughter in March 2025, prompting a district court reinstatement order that the Court stayed while granting certiorari before judgment. Analysts noted that several justices questioned the continued viability of agency independence under Article II, aligning with the administration’s separation-of-powers arguments. These developments, combined with the Court’s earlier emergency docket actions enabling similar removals, have produced trader consensus reflected in the 92% implied probability that the justices will affirm broad removal power. A final ruling remains pending, with outcomes potentially hinging on the precise scope of any opinion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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