Traders' strong consensus against any Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027 stems from steep procedural hurdles, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority requirement and Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the prosecutor general. Despite a recent surge in petitions—over 50 targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the "Caso Master" banking scandal involving alleged conflicts with Toffoli—the PL party leader publicly rejected pursuing impeachment last week, signaling insufficient congressional support in the current composition. The 2026 elections could shift Senate dynamics toward opposition gains, but traders doubt votes will materialize swiftly enough, with no proceedings admitted to date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$55,839 交易量
$55,839 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$55,839 交易量
$55,839 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against any Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027 stems from steep procedural hurdles, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority requirement and Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the prosecutor general. Despite a recent surge in petitions—over 50 targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the "Caso Master" banking scandal involving alleged conflicts with Toffoli—the PL party leader publicly rejected pursuing impeachment last week, signaling insufficient congressional support in the current composition. The 2026 elections could shift Senate dynamics toward opposition gains, but traders doubt votes will materialize swiftly enough, with no proceedings admitted to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
交易量
$55,839結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders' strong consensus against any Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027 stems from steep procedural hurdles, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority requirement and Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the prosecutor general. Despite a recent surge in petitions—over 50 targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the "Caso Master" banking scandal involving alleged conflicts with Toffoli—the PL party leader publicly rejected pursuing impeachment last week, signaling insufficient congressional support in the current composition. The 2026 elections could shift Senate dynamics toward opposition gains, but traders doubt votes will materialize swiftly enough, with no proceedings admitted to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$55,839結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong consensus against any Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027 stems from steep procedural hurdles, including a two-thirds Senate supermajority requirement and Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the prosecutor general. Despite a recent surge in petitions—over 50 targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the "Caso Master" banking scandal involving alleged conflicts with Toffoli—the PL party leader publicly rejected pursuing impeachment last week, signaling insufficient congressional support in the current composition. The 2026 elections could shift Senate dynamics toward opposition gains, but traders doubt votes will materialize swiftly enough, with no proceedings admitted to date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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