Trader consensus prices "No" at 84%, reflecting stringent procedural barriers erected by STF Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling, which limits impeachment petitions against Supreme Federal Court justices to the attorney general alone and requires a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction—stalling over 80 prior requests, mostly targeting Alexandre de Moraes. No impeachment processes have advanced in 2026 despite recent opposition complaints, such as the March 27 criminal filing against Gilmar Mendes and allegations tied to the Banco Master case involving Dias Toffoli; the PL party leader recently affirmed no pursuit of removals. Historical precedent shows zero successful STF justice impeachments, with 2026 Senate elections unlikely to yield the needed votes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$55,077 交易量
$55,077 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$55,077 交易量
$55,077 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 84%, reflecting stringent procedural barriers erected by STF Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling, which limits impeachment petitions against Supreme Federal Court justices to the attorney general alone and requires a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction—stalling over 80 prior requests, mostly targeting Alexandre de Moraes. No impeachment processes have advanced in 2026 despite recent opposition complaints, such as the March 27 criminal filing against Gilmar Mendes and allegations tied to the Banco Master case involving Dias Toffoli; the PL party leader recently affirmed no pursuit of removals. Historical precedent shows zero successful STF justice impeachments, with 2026 Senate elections unlikely to yield the needed votes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
交易量
$55,077結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 84%, reflecting stringent procedural barriers erected by STF Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling, which limits impeachment petitions against Supreme Federal Court justices to the attorney general alone and requires a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction—stalling over 80 prior requests, mostly targeting Alexandre de Moraes. No impeachment processes have advanced in 2026 despite recent opposition complaints, such as the March 27 criminal filing against Gilmar Mendes and allegations tied to the Banco Master case involving Dias Toffoli; the PL party leader recently affirmed no pursuit of removals. Historical precedent shows zero successful STF justice impeachments, with 2026 Senate elections unlikely to yield the needed votes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$55,077結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 84%, reflecting stringent procedural barriers erected by STF Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling, which limits impeachment petitions against Supreme Federal Court justices to the attorney general alone and requires a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction—stalling over 80 prior requests, mostly targeting Alexandre de Moraes. No impeachment processes have advanced in 2026 despite recent opposition complaints, such as the March 27 criminal filing against Gilmar Mendes and allegations tied to the Banco Master case involving Dias Toffoli; the PL party leader recently affirmed no pursuit of removals. Historical precedent shows zero successful STF justice impeachments, with 2026 Senate elections unlikely to yield the needed votes before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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