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特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查?

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特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2 交易量

Polymarket

April 30

$1 交易量

36%

6月30日

$1 交易量

58%

Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not initiated or announced any formal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, despite longstanding criticisms of the Fed's high interest rate policies hindering economic growth. Following his November 2024 election victory, Trump stated in interviews he has no plans to fire Powell before his term ends in May 2026, citing legal requirements for "cause" under the Federal Reserve Act that courts have upheld against presidential pressure. Trader consensus reflects this restraint, with attention on upcoming FOMC rate decisions in December 2024 and January 2025, Treasury Secretary nomination, and potential executive actions that could signal shifts in Fed independence without direct confrontation.

Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.

Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.

If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2
結束日期
Jun 30, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell). This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not initiated or announced any formal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, despite longstanding criticisms of the Fed's high interest rate policies hindering economic growth. Following his November 2024 election victory, Trump stated in interviews he has no plans to fire Powell before his term ends in May 2026, citing legal requirements for "cause" under the Federal Reserve Act that courts have upheld against presidential pressure. Trader consensus reflects this restraint, with attention on upcoming FOMC rate decisions in December 2024 and January 2025, Treasury Secretary nomination, and potential executive actions that could signal shifts in Fed independence without direct confrontation.

President-elect Donald Trump has not initiated or announced any formal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, despite longstanding criticisms of the Fed's high interest rate policies hindering economic growth. Following his November 2024 election victory, Trump stated in interviews he has no plans to fire Powell before his term ends in May 2026, citing legal requirements for "cause" under the Federal Reserve Act that courts have upheld against presidential pressure. Trader consensus reflects this restraint, with attention on upcoming FOMC rate decisions in December 2024 and January 2025, Treasury Secretary nomination, and potential executive actions that could signal shifts in Fed independence without direct confrontation.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 57%, followed by "April 30" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查?" is "6月30日" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "April 30" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普在…前放棄對鮑威爾的調查?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.