Market icon
政治·Fed

傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局

Market icon
政治·Fed

傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局

$118,063 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$118,063 交易量

Polymarket

5月30日

$66,200 交易量

39%

12月31日

$51,864 交易量

69%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 2026, but his Board of Governors seat extends to January 2028, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket that his full exit remains unlikely absent forced removal. Driving current market-implied odds is Powell's March 18, 2026, statement vowing no departure until a DOJ criminal probe—launched January 2026 amid Trump administration tensions over Fed independence—resolves with transparency, alongside commitment to stay until nominee Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation. Recent Harvard remarks highlighted unsustainable $39 trillion U.S. debt and energy-driven inflation risks from geopolitical tensions, with no April FOMC rate cuts signaling policy continuity. Key catalysts: Warsh confirmation timeline, probe developments, and Powell's potential post-Chair board role, against historical precedent of chairs fully exiting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$118,063
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 2026, but his Board of Governors seat extends to January 2028, fueling trader consensus on Polymarket that his full exit remains unlikely absent forced removal. Driving current market-implied odds is Powell's March 18, 2026, statement vowing no departure until a DOJ criminal probe—launched January 2026 amid Trump administration tensions over Fed independence—resolves with transparency, alongside commitment to stay until nominee Kevin Warsh secures Senate confirmation. Recent Harvard remarks highlighted unsustainable $39 trillion U.S. debt and energy-driven inflation risks from geopolitical tensions, with no April FOMC rate cuts signaling policy continuity. Key catalysts: Warsh confirmation timeline, probe developments, and Powell's potential post-Chair board role, against historical precedent of chairs fully exiting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$118,063
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 69%, followed by "5月30日" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" has generated $118.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" is "12月31日" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5月30日" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.