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政治·國會

誰將投票確認凱文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）為聯儲局主席？

Market icon
政治·國會

誰將投票確認凱文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）為聯儲局主席？

$71,901 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$71,901 交易量

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$35,798 交易量

90%

伊麗莎白·沃倫

$30,286 交易量

6%

伯尼·桑德斯

$3,072 交易量

11%

查克·舒默

$0 交易量

17%

莉莎·穆爾科斯基

$90 交易量

66%

Kevin Cramer

$783 交易量

90%

約翰·甘迺迪

$1,871 交易量

90%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when Powell's term expires May 15, but the process stalled amid a DOJ probe into Powell's Fed headquarters renovations. Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), a Senate Banking Committee member, blocked advancement until prosecutors admitted lacking evidence for charges, prompting a judge to quash subpoenas last week. The committee now targets a confirmation hearing the week of April 13, followed by votes needing simple majorities. Traders assess senator positions via public statements, with Republicans holding Senate control favoring passage barring holds, while Democrats signal opposition over Warsh's hawkish monetary views and past Fed dissents.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$71,901
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump formally nominated former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh on March 4 to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when Powell's term expires May 15, but the process stalled amid a DOJ probe into Powell's Fed headquarters renovations. Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), a Senate Banking Committee member, blocked advancement until prosecutors admitted lacking evidence for charges, prompting a judge to quash subpoenas last week. The committee now targets a confirmation hearing the week of April 13, followed by votes needing simple majorities. Traders assess senator positions via public statements, with Republicans holding Senate control favoring passage barring holds, while Democrats signal opposition over Warsh's hawkish monetary views and past Fed dissents.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$71,901
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將投票確認凱文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）為聯儲局主席？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Thom Tillis" at 90%, followed by "Kevin Cramer" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將投票確認凱文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）為聯儲局主席？" has generated $71.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將投票確認凱文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）為聯儲局主席？," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將投票確認凱文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）為聯儲局主席？" is "Thom Tillis" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Cramer" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將投票確認凱文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）為聯儲局主席？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.