Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?

4月 4

4月 6

4月 4

4月 6

65-89 36%

90-114 30%

40-64 20%

115-139 13%

Polymarket
最新

$125,034 交易量

65-89 36%

90-114 30%

40-64 20%

115-139 13%

Polymarket
最新

$125,034 交易量

<40

$9,184 交易量

3%

40-64

$5,480 交易量

20%

65-89

$1,969 交易量

36%

90-114

$4,695 交易量

30%

115-139

$4,592 交易量

13%

140-164

$5,018 交易量

3%

165-189

$10,653 交易量

1%

190-214

$11,607 交易量

<1%

215-239

$33,978 交易量

<1%

240+

$38,567 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) over 90-114 (31.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, 2026, reflecting his recent volatile posting cadence averaging 31-40 daily over March 27-April 3 (216-277 total, per xTracker data). A 79-post spike on March 30 amid Tesla and SpaceX buzz contrasted with quieter early April days like April 2's 22-26 posts, fostering caution on weekend volume absent confirmed events. Key swing factors include potential viral Grok or xAI updates, historical weekend dips, and real-time news triggers, with resolution via xTracker's post counter starting 12:00 PM ET tomorrow—traders eye any pre-weekend momentum shifts for breakout clarity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$125,034
結束日期
2026-04-06
市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) over 90-114 (31.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, 2026, reflecting his recent volatile posting cadence averaging 31-40 daily over March 27-April 3 (216-277 total, per xTracker data). A 79-post spike on March 30 amid Tesla and SpaceX buzz contrasted with quieter early April days like April 2's 22-26 posts, fostering caution on weekend volume absent confirmed events. Key swing factors include potential viral Grok or xAI updates, historical weekend dips, and real-time news triggers, with resolution via xTracker's post counter starting 12:00 PM ET tomorrow—traders eye any pre-weekend momentum shifts for breakout clarity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$125,034
結束日期
2026-04-06
市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET

結算來源

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "65-89" at 36%, followed by "90-114" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?" has generated $125K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?" is "65-89" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "90-114" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets April 4 - April 6, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.