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Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?

240-259 12%

220-239 12%

260-279 11%

280-299 11%

Polymarket
最新

$88,345 交易量

240-259 12%

220-239 12%

260-279 11%

280-299 11%

Polymarket
最新

$88,345 交易量

少於20

$13,905 交易量

<1%

20-39

$8,579 交易量

<1%

40-59

$5,616 交易量

<1%

60-79

$2,167 交易量

<1%

80-99

$2,777 交易量

<1%

100-119

$3,619 交易量

1%

120-139

$3,876 交易量

<1%

140-159

$2,436 交易量

1%

160-179

$2,203 交易量

3%

180-199

$2,063 交易量

4%

200-219

$1,990 交易量

9%

220-239

$2,475 交易量

12%

240-259

$2,112 交易量

12%

260-279

$3,160 交易量

11%

280-299

$1,773 交易量

11%

300-319

$1,661 交易量

9%

320-339

$2,161 交易量

7%

340-359

$1,428 交易量

6%

360-379

$1,514 交易量

7%

380-399

$1,623 交易量

6%

400-419

$1,936 交易量

4%

420-439

$1,804 交易量

3%

440-459

$1,626 交易量

2%

460-479

$1,569 交易量

2%

480-499

$1,454 交易量

<1%

500-519

$2,844 交易量

2%

520-539

$3,211 交易量

<1%

540-559

$1,709 交易量

<1%

560-579

$2,283 交易量

<1%

580以上

$2,907 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 X posts for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying a steady 31-43 daily average, anchored by his March 24-31 total of 234 posts (33/day per XTracker data)—a moderate pace amid ongoing SpaceX and Tesla developments. The razor-thin spread among top outcomes reflects high variability in Musk's posting habits, driven by real-time replies to viral crypto, quantum computing, or policy debates, as seen in his recent bursts on Starship steel and quantum threats. Absent confirmed catalysts like SpaceX's rumored early-April investor briefings or Cybercab production updates, traders hedge on historical patterns, with breaking news as the key swing factor before the April 10 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$88,345
結束日期
2026-04-10
市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 X posts for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying a steady 31-43 daily average, anchored by his March 24-31 total of 234 posts (33/day per XTracker data)—a moderate pace amid ongoing SpaceX and Tesla developments. The razor-thin spread among top outcomes reflects high variability in Musk's posting habits, driven by real-time replies to viral crypto, quantum computing, or policy debates, as seen in his recent bursts on Starship steel and quantum threats. Absent confirmed catalysts like SpaceX's rumored early-April investor briefings or Cybercab production updates, traders hedge on historical patterns, with breaking news as the key swing factor before the April 10 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$88,345
結束日期
2026-04-10
市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "220-239" at 12%, followed by "240-259" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?" has generated $88.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?" is "220-239" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "240-259" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月3日至4月10日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.