Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 X posts for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying a steady 31-43 daily average, anchored by his March 24-31 total of 234 posts (33/day per XTracker data)—a moderate pace amid ongoing SpaceX and Tesla developments. The razor-thin spread among top outcomes reflects high variability in Musk's posting habits, driven by real-time replies to viral crypto, quantum computing, or policy debates, as seen in his recent bursts on Starship steel and quantum threats. Absent confirmed catalysts like SpaceX's rumored early-April investor briefings or Cybercab production updates, traders hedge on historical patterns, with breaking news as the key swing factor before the April 10 cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於240-259 12%
220-239 12%
260-279 11%
280-299 11%
$88,345 交易量
$88,345 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
3%
180-199
4%
200-219
9%
220-239
12%
240-259
12%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
9%
320-339
7%
340-359
6%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
2%
480-499
<1%
500-519
2%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580以上
<1%
240-259 12%
220-239 12%
260-279 11%
280-299 11%
$88,345 交易量
$88,345 交易量
少於20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
3%
180-199
4%
200-219
9%
220-239
12%
240-259
12%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
9%
320-339
7%
340-359
6%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
2%
480-499
<1%
500-519
2%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580以上
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 220-299 X posts for Elon Musk from April 3-10, implying a steady 31-43 daily average, anchored by his March 24-31 total of 234 posts (33/day per XTracker data)—a moderate pace amid ongoing SpaceX and Tesla developments. The razor-thin spread among top outcomes reflects high variability in Musk's posting habits, driven by real-time replies to viral crypto, quantum computing, or policy debates, as seen in his recent bursts on Starship steel and quantum threats. Absent confirmed catalysts like SpaceX's rumored early-April investor briefings or Cybercab production updates, traders hedge on historical patterns, with breaking news as the key swing factor before the April 10 cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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