President Trump and First Lady Melania's confirmed attendance at the opening night of the musical "Chicago" at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on March 31, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET anchors trader consensus, with high implied probabilities on "Deal" (76%), "Trump" (63%), "Iran" (63%), "Chicago" (61%), and "Seat" (60¢ Yes shares). Public schedule release on March 30 spurred the market's launch and $15K volume, reflecting Trump's rhetorical habits—frequent "deal" references from his dealmaking persona, "Chicago" nods to the city or show title, geopolitical mentions like "Iran," self-references to "Trump," and theater-appropriate "seat." The event tonight will trigger resolution based on verified speeches, barring cancellations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$16,022 交易量
Trump
63%
Iran
63%
Ahead of schedule
37%
Deal
76%
Sleepy / Biden
30%
Plan
52%
250 / 250th
35%
Seat
60%
Democrat
56%
Filibuster
12%
Marble
43%
SAVE Act / Save America Act
22%
Transgender / Women's Sports
24%
Hottest
30%
Movie star
52%
Ceasefire
14%
Strait / Hormuz
39%
Billy / Roxie
19%
Chicago
52%
Tremendous
48%
-No Qualifying Event-
3%
$16,022 交易量
Trump
63%
Iran
63%
Ahead of schedule
37%
Deal
76%
Sleepy / Biden
30%
Plan
52%
250 / 250th
35%
Seat
60%
Democrat
56%
Filibuster
12%
Marble
43%
SAVE Act / Save America Act
22%
Transgender / Women's Sports
24%
Hottest
30%
Movie star
52%
Ceasefire
14%
Strait / Hormuz
39%
Billy / Roxie
19%
Chicago
52%
Tremendous
48%
-No Qualifying Event-
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump and First Lady Melania's confirmed attendance at the opening night of the musical "Chicago" at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on March 31, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET anchors trader consensus, with high implied probabilities on "Deal" (76%), "Trump" (63%), "Iran" (63%), "Chicago" (61%), and "Seat" (60¢ Yes shares). Public schedule release on March 30 spurred the market's launch and $15K volume, reflecting Trump's rhetorical habits—frequent "deal" references from his dealmaking persona, "Chicago" nods to the city or show title, geopolitical mentions like "Iran," self-references to "Trump," and theater-appropriate "seat." The event tonight will trigger resolution based on verified speeches, barring cancellations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions