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What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night?

Market icon

What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night?

$16,022 交易量

2026-03-31
Polymarket

$16,022 交易量

Polymarket

Trump

$2,722 交易量

63%

Iran

$1,126 交易量

63%

Ahead of schedule

$276 交易量

37%

Deal

$57 交易量

76%

Sleepy / Biden

$270 交易量

30%

Plan

$142 交易量

52%

250 / 250th

$459 交易量

35%

Seat

$105 交易量

60%

Democrat

$12 交易量

56%

Filibuster

$1,470 交易量

12%

Marble

$704 交易量

43%

SAVE Act / Save America Act

$9 交易量

22%

Transgender / Women's Sports

$36 交易量

24%

Hottest

$90 交易量

30%

Movie star

$122 交易量

52%

Ceasefire

$194 交易量

14%

Strait / Hormuz

$454 交易量

39%

Billy / Roxie

$456 交易量

19%

Chicago

$6,976 交易量

52%

Tremendous

$1 交易量

48%

-No Qualifying Event-

$367 交易量

3%

Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, 7:30PM ET at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump and First Lady Melania's confirmed attendance at the opening night of the musical "Chicago" at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on March 31, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET anchors trader consensus, with high implied probabilities on "Deal" (76%), "Trump" (63%), "Iran" (63%), "Chicago" (61%), and "Seat" (60¢ Yes shares). Public schedule release on March 30 spurred the market's launch and $15K volume, reflecting Trump's rhetorical habits—frequent "deal" references from his dealmaking persona, "Chicago" nods to the city or show title, geopolitical mentions like "Iran," self-references to "Trump," and theater-appropriate "seat." The event tonight will trigger resolution based on verified speeches, barring cancellations.

Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, 7:30PM ET at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,022
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, 7:30PM ET at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, 7:30PM ET at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump and First Lady Melania's confirmed attendance at the opening night of the musical "Chicago" at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on March 31, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET anchors trader consensus, with high implied probabilities on "Deal" (76%), "Trump" (63%), "Iran" (63%), "Chicago" (61%), and "Seat" (60¢ Yes shares). Public schedule release on March 30 spurred the market's launch and $15K volume, reflecting Trump's rhetorical habits—frequent "deal" references from his dealmaking persona, "Chicago" nods to the city or show title, geopolitical mentions like "Iran," self-references to "Trump," and theater-appropriate "seat." The event tonight will trigger resolution based on verified speeches, barring cancellations.

Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, 7:30PM ET at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,022
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Donald and Melania Trump are scheduled to attend Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026, 7:30PM ET at the John F. Kennedy Center for Performing Arts. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Donald and Melania Trump's remarks at Chicago Opening Night on March 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Deal" at 76%, followed by "Trump" at 63%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night? " has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night? ," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night? " is "Deal" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump" at 63%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump and Melania say during Chicago Opening Night? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.