Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？

Market icon
政治·文化

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？

Mar 30

Apr 1

Mar 30

Apr 1

65-89 39%

40-64 26%

90-114 24%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,844 交易量

65-89 39%

40-64 26%

90-114 24%

115-139 10%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,844 交易量

少於40條

$1,291 交易量

4%

40-64

$703 交易量

26%

65-89

$678 交易量

39%

90-114

$476 交易量

24%

115-139

$718 交易量

10%

140-164

$954 交易量

3%

165-189

$1,091 交易量

1%

190-214

$1,904 交易量

1%

215-239

$5,235 交易量

<1%

240+

$4,795 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times from March 30 to April 1, implying 22-30 posts daily, aligned with his recent steady pace of roughly 30 per day through late March, including a 260-279 total for March 20-27 driven by viral political hot takes and SpaceX-Tesla TERAFAB announcements. The March 27 outburst of 71 posts on divisive topics spiked engagement, solidifying expectations for sustained high-volume activity amid ongoing public sentiment around his X platform influence and cultural commentary. Secondary clusters at 40-64 and 90-114 reflect variability from quieter periods or news-fueled bursts, with low probabilities for extremes underscoring traders' skin-in-the-game assessment of his unpredictable social media rhythm ahead of the short window.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "65-89" at 39%, followed by "40-64" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" has generated $17.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" is "65-89" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-64" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月30日至4月1日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.