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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍

芬蘭 35.9%

法國 13.5%

丹麥 10.9%

澳洲 6.4%

Polymarket

$56,555,743 交易量

芬蘭 35.9%

法國 13.5%

丹麥 10.9%

澳洲 6.4%

Polymarket

$56,555,743 交易量

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芬蘭

$1,896,099 交易量

36%

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法國

$1,457,310 交易量

14%

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丹麥

$1,013,820 交易量

11%

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澳洲

$1,235,463 交易量

6%

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希臘

$1,355,429 交易量

6%

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以色列

$1,268,724 交易量

4%

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瑞典

$975,163 交易量

3%

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烏克蘭

$1,171,792 交易量

3%

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義大利

$1,581,086 交易量

2%

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羅馬尼亞

$931,872 交易量

2%

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捷克

$830,534 交易量

1%

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賽普勒斯

$1,155,215 交易量

1%

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馬耳他

$1,051,446 交易量

1%

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保加利亞

$1,130,888 交易量

1%

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比利時

$1,271,850 交易量

1%

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克羅地亞

$982,507 交易量

1%

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德國

$911,254 交易量

1%

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盧森堡

$1,072,388 交易量

1%

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摩爾多瓦

$1,211,180 交易量

1%

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挪威

$1,330,060 交易量

1%

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瑞士

$2,319,899 交易量

1%

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英國

$720,305 交易量

1%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$2,281,397 交易量

<1%

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奧地利

$2,357,597 交易量

<1%

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愛沙尼亞

$2,750,997 交易量

<1%

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拉脫維亞

$2,317,031 交易量

<1%

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聖馬力諾

$2,553,451 交易量

<1%

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亞美尼亞

$2,307,507 交易量

<1%

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阿塞拜疆

$2,672,014 交易量

<1%

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喬治亞

$2,411,798 交易量

<1%

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立陶宛

$1,949,109 交易量

<1%

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蒙特內哥羅

$2,918,993 交易量

<1%

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波蘭

$2,129,646 交易量

<1%

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塞爾維亞

$824,855 交易量

<1%

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葡萄牙

$2,211,316 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 35.9% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from the February 28 UMK national selection triumph of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop drive that crushed the final with nearly triple the runner-up's points, signaling rare jury-televote balance unlike Finland's past pure crowd-pleasers. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13.5% and Denmark's Danish-language entry at 10.9% gained traction via strong OGAE poll nods and preview buzz, while Australia (Delta Goodrem) and Greece's "Sing for Greece" finalists hover around 6% amid competitive national finals. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14 and final on 16, trader consensus anticipates previews and pre-parties as key momentum shifters in this fluid contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$56,555,743
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 35.9% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from the February 28 UMK national selection triumph of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop drive that crushed the final with nearly triple the runner-up's points, signaling rare jury-televote balance unlike Finland's past pure crowd-pleasers. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13.5% and Denmark's Danish-language entry at 10.9% gained traction via strong OGAE poll nods and preview buzz, while Australia (Delta Goodrem) and Greece's "Sing for Greece" finalists hover around 6% amid competitive national finals. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14 and final on 16, trader consensus anticipates previews and pre-parties as key momentum shifters in this fluid contest.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$56,555,743
結束日期
2026-05-16
市場開放時間
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "芬蘭" at 36%, followed by "法國" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" has generated $56.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" is "芬蘭" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "法國" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.