Finland's commanding 35.9% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from the February 28 UMK national selection triumph of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop drive that crushed the final with nearly triple the runner-up's points, signaling rare jury-televote balance unlike Finland's past pure crowd-pleasers. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13.5% and Denmark's Danish-language entry at 10.9% gained traction via strong OGAE poll nods and preview buzz, while Australia (Delta Goodrem) and Greece's "Sing for Greece" finalists hover around 6% amid competitive national finals. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14 and final on 16, trader consensus anticipates previews and pre-parties as key momentum shifters in this fluid contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
芬蘭 35.9%
法國 13.5%
丹麥 10.9%
澳洲 6.4%
$56,555,743 交易量
$56,555,743 交易量

芬蘭
36%

法國
14%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
6%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
3%

烏克蘭
3%

義大利
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英國
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%
芬蘭 35.9%
法國 13.5%
丹麥 10.9%
澳洲 6.4%
$56,555,743 交易量
$56,555,743 交易量

芬蘭
36%

法國
14%

丹麥
11%

澳洲
6%

希臘
6%

以色列
4%

瑞典
3%

烏克蘭
3%

義大利
2%

羅馬尼亞
2%

捷克
1%

賽普勒斯
1%

馬耳他
1%

保加利亞
1%

比利時
1%

克羅地亞
1%

德國
1%

盧森堡
1%

摩爾多瓦
1%

挪威
1%

瑞士
1%

英國
1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

奧地利
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

聖馬力諾
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

喬治亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

蒙特內哥羅
<1%

波蘭
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's commanding 35.9% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from the February 28 UMK national selection triumph of Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin," a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop drive that crushed the final with nearly triple the runner-up's points, signaling rare jury-televote balance unlike Finland's past pure crowd-pleasers. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") at 13.5% and Denmark's Danish-language entry at 10.9% gained traction via strong OGAE poll nods and preview buzz, while Australia (Delta Goodrem) and Greece's "Sing for Greece" finalists hover around 6% amid competitive national finals. With Vienna semis looming May 12-14 and final on 16, trader consensus anticipates previews and pre-parties as key momentum shifters in this fluid contest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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