Vienna will host Eurovision 2026 on May 12-16, with national selections now largely complete after a surprise-filled season featuring frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), who dominated UMK with a high-energy rock-classical fusion, France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde"), and Romania's Alexandra Cǎpitǎnescu ("Choke Me"). Trader consensus in top 10 markets favors perennial qualifiers like the Big 5, host Austria, Australia, and Nordic powerhouses, reflecting strong song quality, staging potential, and historical televote/jury splits. Recent first semi-final running order reveal has intensified qualification debates for non-auto-qualifiers like Finland, with rehearsals and pre-parties looming as key momentum shifters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Eurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$145,070 交易量

Finland
88%

Israel
83%

Ukraine
78%

Denmark
77%

Greece
77%

Australia
76%

Sweden
76%

France
75%

Italy
66%

Romania
41%

Moldova
41%

Bulgaria
39%

Cyprus
37%

Latvia
31%

Czechia
31%

Malta
29%

Croatia
24%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
15%

Lithuania
14%

Armenia
14%

Luxembourg
13%

Serbia
13%

Germany
10%

Montenegro
10%

Estonia
7%

Portugal
7%

Switzerland
7%

Belgium
7%

Georgia
6%

San Marino
6%

Poland
6%

Azerbaijan
5%

Austria
4%
$145,070 交易量

Finland
88%

Israel
83%

Ukraine
78%

Denmark
77%

Greece
77%

Australia
76%

Sweden
76%

France
75%

Italy
66%

Romania
41%

Moldova
41%

Bulgaria
39%

Cyprus
37%

Latvia
31%

Czechia
31%

Malta
29%

Croatia
24%

Norway
20%

Albania
18%

United Kingdom
15%

Lithuania
14%

Armenia
14%

Luxembourg
13%

Serbia
13%

Germany
10%

Montenegro
10%

Estonia
7%

Portugal
7%

Switzerland
7%

Belgium
7%

Georgia
6%

San Marino
6%

Poland
6%

Azerbaijan
5%

Austria
4%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vienna will host Eurovision 2026 on May 12-16, with national selections now largely complete after a surprise-filled season featuring frontrunners like Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), who dominated UMK with a high-energy rock-classical fusion, France's internal pick Monroe ("Regarde"), and Romania's Alexandra Cǎpitǎnescu ("Choke Me"). Trader consensus in top 10 markets favors perennial qualifiers like the Big 5, host Austria, Australia, and Nordic powerhouses, reflecting strong song quality, staging potential, and historical televote/jury splits. Recent first semi-final running order reveal has intensified qualification debates for non-auto-qualifiers like Finland, with rehearsals and pre-parties looming as key momentum shifters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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