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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:第二次準決賽

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2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:第二次準決賽

$82,941 交易量

2026-05-14
Polymarket

$82,941 交易量

Polymarket
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丹麥

$315 交易量

95%

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澳洲

$11,145 交易量

92%

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烏克蘭

$995 交易量

89%

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保加利亞

$4,980 交易量

82%

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馬耳他

$467 交易量

76%

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塞浦路斯

$7,010 交易量

76%

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羅馬尼亞

$5,147 交易量

71%

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捷克

$24,970 交易量

71%

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阿爾巴尼亞

$3,173 交易量

68%

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挪威

$2,269 交易量

60%

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拉脫維亞

$474 交易量

55%

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盧森堡

$3,895 交易量

47%

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瑞士

$6,214 交易量

39%

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亞美尼亞

$10,126 交易量

32%

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亞塞拜然

$1,761 交易量

6%

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Denmark at 95% implied probability to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 in Vienna, propelled by Søren Torpegaard's jury-friendly ballad "Før vi går hjem" surging in betting odds after its dominant Dansk Melodi Grand Prix win in March. Australia follows at 92% with Delta Goodrem's star-powered pop anthem "Eclipse," whose official music video release earlier this month ignited streaming buzz and fan polls. Ukraine's 91% reflects LELÉKA's emotive "Ridnym," a Vidbir televote smash with diaspora strength, while Bulgaria's Dara nears lock-in at 82% via "Bangaranga's" upbeat energy. With national selections wrapped, rehearsals next month loom as pivotal for staging impacts amid televote unpredictability.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$82,941
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Denmark at 95% implied probability to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final on May 14 in Vienna, propelled by Søren Torpegaard's jury-friendly ballad "Før vi går hjem" surging in betting odds after its dominant Dansk Melodi Grand Prix win in March. Australia follows at 92% with Delta Goodrem's star-powered pop anthem "Eclipse," whose official music video release earlier this month ignited streaming buzz and fan polls. Ukraine's 91% reflects LELÉKA's emotive "Ridnym," a Vidbir televote smash with diaspora strength, while Bulgaria's Dara nears lock-in at 82% via "Bangaranga's" upbeat energy. With national selections wrapped, rehearsals next month loom as pivotal for staging impacts amid televote unpredictability.

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$82,941
結束日期
2026-05-14
市場開放時間
Jan 16, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:第二次準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "丹麥" at 95%, followed by "澳洲" at 92%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:第二次準決賽" has generated $82.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:第二次準決賽," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:第二次準決賽" is "丹麥" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "澳洲" at 92%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:第二次準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.