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唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年4月3日至4月10日?

Market icon

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年4月3日至4月10日?

100-119 41%

80-99 32%

120-139 16%

40-59 15.1%

Polymarket
最新

100-119 41%

80-99 32%

120-139 16%

40-59 15.1%

Polymarket
最新

少於20

$3,592 交易量

<1%

20-39

$305 交易量

1%

40-59

$549 交易量

15%

60-79

$408 交易量

16%

80-99

$159 交易量

32%

100-119

$75 交易量

37%

120-139

$1 交易量

16%

140-159

$3 交易量

15%

160-179

$1 交易量

12%

180-199

$1 交易量

15%

200+

$1 交易量

11%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's recent Truth Social posting pace, with 91 posts from March 24-31 averaging roughly 13 daily, drives trader consensus toward 80-119 total outputs for April 3-10, as reflected in the tight race between those bins at 35% and 31%. This aligns with a dip from 2025's 18-post daily average amid ongoing presidential duties, though frequency fluctuates with news cycles like U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks and Strait of Hormuz tensions highlighted in his latest messages. The contest remains close due to historical spikes during foreign policy developments or late-night barrages, versus quieter periods; escalation in Iran negotiations, major executive actions, or cabinet updates could push toward 140+, while routine schedules might cap below 80.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,096
結束日期
2026-04-10
市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's recent Truth Social posting pace, with 91 posts from March 24-31 averaging roughly 13 daily, drives trader consensus toward 80-119 total outputs for April 3-10, as reflected in the tight race between those bins at 35% and 31%. This aligns with a dip from 2025's 18-post daily average amid ongoing presidential duties, though frequency fluctuates with news cycles like U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks and Strait of Hormuz tensions highlighted in his latest messages. The contest remains close due to historical spikes during foreign policy developments or late-night barrages, versus quieter periods; escalation in Iran negotiations, major executive actions, or cabinet updates could push toward 140+, while routine schedules might cap below 80.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$5,096
結束日期
2026-04-10
市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年4月3日至4月10日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 37%, followed by "80-99" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年4月3日至4月10日?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年4月3日至4月10日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年4月3日至4月10日?" is "100-119" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-99" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年4月3日至4月10日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.