Market icon
政治·特朗普

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年3月27日至4月3日？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年3月27日至4月3日？

Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

100-119 31%

80-99 27%

120-139 14%

140-159 13%

Polymarket

$52,754 交易量

100-119 31%

80-99 27%

120-139 14%

140-159 13%

Polymarket

$52,754 交易量

少於20

$35,334 交易量

<1%

20-39

$1,933 交易量

1%

40-59

$1,702 交易量

2%

60-79

$1,028 交易量

9%

80-99

$3,868 交易量

27%

100-119

$3,187 交易量

31%

120-139

$1,183 交易量

14%

140-159

$733 交易量

13%

160-179

$1,025 交易量

3%

180-199

$1,474 交易量

3%

200+

$1,286 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during March 27-April 3, 2026, reflecting his consistent high-volume posting patterns averaging 10-20 daily during campaign peaks and recent transition periods, as seen in over 100 weekly posts in late 2024 amid election victory announcements and cabinet nominations. The tight race between 100-119 (31%) and 80-99 (26.5%) stems from variability driven by news cycles, official schedules, and potential White House duties in his second term, where major events like policy rollouts or diplomatic summits could spike activity while lighter calendars might suppress it. No major shifts in habits noted in the past 30 days, keeping expectations anchored to historical baselines absent new catalysts like legal developments or international crises.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$52,754
結束日期
Apr 3, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during March 27-April 3, 2026, reflecting his consistent high-volume posting patterns averaging 10-20 daily during campaign peaks and recent transition periods, as seen in over 100 weekly posts in late 2024 amid election victory announcements and cabinet nominations. The tight race between 100-119 (31%) and 80-99 (26.5%) stems from variability driven by news cycles, official schedules, and potential White House duties in his second term, where major events like policy rollouts or diplomatic summits could spike activity while lighter calendars might suppress it. No major shifts in habits noted in the past 30 days, keeping expectations anchored to historical baselines absent new catalysts like legal developments or international crises.

Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-119 Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during March 27-April 3, 2026, reflecting his consistent high-volume posting patterns averaging 10-20 daily during campaign peaks and recent transition periods, as seen in over 100 weekly posts in late 2024 amid election victory announcements and cabinet nominations. The tight race between 100-119 (31%) and 80-99 (26.5%) stems from variability driven by news cycles, official schedules, and potential White House duties in his second term, where major events like policy rollouts or diplomatic summits could spike activity while lighter calendars might suppress it. No major shifts in habits noted in the past 30 days, keeping expectations anchored to historical baselines absent new catalysts like legal developments or international crises.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年3月27日至4月3日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 31%, followed by "80-99" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年3月27日至4月3日？" has generated $52.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年3月27日至4月3日？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年3月27日至4月3日？" is "100-119" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-99" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年3月27日至4月3日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.