Donald Trump's inauguration as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, anchors trader consensus at 97.9% against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts for resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in recent weeks. Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) create steep hurdles to impeachment conviction, requiring a two-thirds Senate vote historically unachieved for sitting presidents. Focus has shifted to executive orders on border security and cabinet confirmations amid stable health reports. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, major scandals, or extraordinary legal developments, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
NEW
$18,881 交易量
NEW
$18,881 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
是
NEW
$18,881 交易量
NEW
$18,881 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump's inauguration as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, anchors trader consensus at 97.9% against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts for resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in recent weeks. Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) create steep hurdles to impeachment conviction, requiring a two-thirds Senate vote historically unachieved for sitting presidents. Focus has shifted to executive orders on border security and cabinet confirmations amid stable health reports. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, major scandals, or extraordinary legal developments, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
交易量
$18,881結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump's inauguration as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, anchors trader consensus at 97.9% against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts for resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in recent weeks. Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) create steep hurdles to impeachment conviction, requiring a two-thirds Senate vote historically unachieved for sitting presidents. Focus has shifted to executive orders on border security and cabinet confirmations amid stable health reports. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, major scandals, or extraordinary legal developments, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$18,881結束日期
Apr 30, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump's inauguration as the 47th President on January 20, 2025, anchors trader consensus at 97.9% against him leaving office by April 30, reflecting the absence of any credible catalysts for resignation, impeachment, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in recent weeks. Republican majorities in the House (220-215) and Senate (53-47) create steep hurdles to impeachment conviction, requiring a two-thirds Senate vote historically unachieved for sitting presidents. Focus has shifted to executive orders on border security and cabinet confirmations amid stable health reports. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, major scandals, or extraordinary legal developments, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions