President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address to the nation on April 1, 2026, outlining swift U.S. victories in the ongoing Iran war and signaling its nearing completion, underscores his firm grip on the presidency, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against an early exit by June 30. No active impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, with prior partisan calls for accountability—such as from Democrats eyeing House control post-November midterms—remaining speculative and tied to events beyond the resolution date. This stability reflects the wisdom of crowds in Polymarket pricing, barring unforeseen scandals or legal developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$1,965,686 交易量
$1,965,686 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,965,686 交易量
$1,965,686 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address to the nation on April 1, 2026, outlining swift U.S. victories in the ongoing Iran war and signaling its nearing completion, underscores his firm grip on the presidency, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against an early exit by June 30. No active impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, with prior partisan calls for accountability—such as from Democrats eyeing House control post-November midterms—remaining speculative and tied to events beyond the resolution date. This stability reflects the wisdom of crowds in Polymarket pricing, barring unforeseen scandals or legal developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,965,686結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address to the nation on April 1, 2026, outlining swift U.S. victories in the ongoing Iran war and signaling its nearing completion, underscores his firm grip on the presidency, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against an early exit by June 30. No active impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, with prior partisan calls for accountability—such as from Democrats eyeing House control post-November midterms—remaining speculative and tied to events beyond the resolution date. This stability reflects the wisdom of crowds in Polymarket pricing, barring unforeseen scandals or legal developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,965,686結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent prime-time address to the nation on April 1, 2026, outlining swift U.S. victories in the ongoing Iran war and signaling its nearing completion, underscores his firm grip on the presidency, driving the 94.5% trader consensus against an early exit by June 30. No active impeachment proceedings, resignation announcements, 25th Amendment invocations, or health crises have emerged in the past 30 days to threaten his position, with prior partisan calls for accountability—such as from Democrats eyeing House control post-November midterms—remaining speculative and tied to events beyond the resolution date. This stability reflects the wisdom of crowds in Polymarket pricing, barring unforeseen scandals or legal developments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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