Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80%, reflecting stalled peace negotiations amid ongoing Russian military advances, including claims of full Luhansk control on April 1 that Kyiv denied, and persistent frontline escalations. Zelenskyy's recent Easter ceasefire proposal during video talks with U.S. negotiators and NATO chief Rutte was dismissed by Russia as a PR stunt, followed by drone attacks, underscoring mutual distrust and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs. Lower probabilities for venues like Turkey, the U.S., or Qatar/UAE stem from historical failed mediation attempts, such as Istanbul in 2025, with no new bilateral summit scheduled despite U.S.-led indirect efforts. Russian public support for talks at 67% contrasts with battlefield realities driving trader skepticism.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於2027年前不會會面 80%
土耳其 2.4%
卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋 2.4%
美國 2.3%
$1,872,853 交易量
$1,872,853 交易量

2027年前不會會面
80%

土耳其
2%

卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋
2%

美國
2%

俄羅斯
2%

沙烏地阿拉伯
2%

瑞士
1%

匈牙利
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

烏克蘭
1%

中國
1%

印度
1%

意大利/梵蒂岡
1%

哈薩克斯坦
1%
2027年前不會會面 80%
土耳其 2.4%
卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋 2.4%
美國 2.3%
$1,872,853 交易量
$1,872,853 交易量

2027年前不會會面
80%

土耳其
2%

卡塔爾 / 阿聯酋
2%

美國
2%

俄羅斯
2%

沙烏地阿拉伯
2%

瑞士
1%

匈牙利
1%

白俄羅斯
1%

烏克蘭
1%

中國
1%

印度
1%

意大利/梵蒂岡
1%

哈薩克斯坦
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80%, reflecting stalled peace negotiations amid ongoing Russian military advances, including claims of full Luhansk control on April 1 that Kyiv denied, and persistent frontline escalations. Zelenskyy's recent Easter ceasefire proposal during video talks with U.S. negotiators and NATO chief Rutte was dismissed by Russia as a PR stunt, followed by drone attacks, underscoring mutual distrust and lack of diplomatic breakthroughs. Lower probabilities for venues like Turkey, the U.S., or Qatar/UAE stem from historical failed mediation attempts, such as Istanbul in 2025, with no new bilateral summit scheduled despite U.S.-led indirect efforts. Russian public support for talks at 67% contrasts with battlefield realities driving trader skepticism.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions