Amid heightened US-Iran tensions from US and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February 2026, diplomatic efforts for a bilateral meeting have stalled decisively. Iran rejected a proposed gathering in Islamabad hosted by Pakistan, informing mediators of unwillingness to engage US officials including envoy Steve Witkoff, as reported in the past day. This dead-end follows indirect talks in Oman and Geneva earlier this year that yielded no deal on nuclear issues or ceasefire, despite Omani claims of progress. President Trump's fresh 48-hour ultimatum demands Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face infrastructure strikes, underscoring trader focus on escalation risks over near-term diplomacy amid ongoing military posturing and regional mediation failures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,329,855 交易量
2026-04-10
4月10日
4%
4月30日
20%
6月30日
55%
$1,329,855 交易量
4月10日
$96,714 交易量
4%
4月30日
$198,819 交易量
20%
6月30日
$49,310 交易量
55%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions from US and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February 2026, diplomatic efforts for a bilateral meeting have stalled decisively. Iran rejected a proposed gathering in Islamabad hosted by Pakistan, informing mediators of unwillingness to engage US officials including envoy Steve Witkoff, as reported in the past day. This dead-end follows indirect talks in Oman and Geneva earlier this year that yielded no deal on nuclear issues or ceasefire, despite Omani claims of progress. President Trump's fresh 48-hour ultimatum demands Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face infrastructure strikes, underscoring trader focus on escalation risks over near-term diplomacy amid ongoing military posturing and regional mediation failures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
交易量
$1,329,855結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions from US and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February 2026, diplomatic efforts for a bilateral meeting have stalled decisively. Iran rejected a proposed gathering in Islamabad hosted by Pakistan, informing mediators of unwillingness to engage US officials including envoy Steve Witkoff, as reported in the past day. This dead-end follows indirect talks in Oman and Geneva earlier this year that yielded no deal on nuclear issues or ceasefire, despite Omani claims of progress. President Trump's fresh 48-hour ultimatum demands Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face infrastructure strikes, underscoring trader focus on escalation risks over near-term diplomacy amid ongoing military posturing and regional mediation failures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,329,855結束日期
2026-03-31市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions from US and Israeli strikes on Iran since late February 2026, diplomatic efforts for a bilateral meeting have stalled decisively. Iran rejected a proposed gathering in Islamabad hosted by Pakistan, informing mediators of unwillingness to engage US officials including envoy Steve Witkoff, as reported in the past day. This dead-end follows indirect talks in Oman and Geneva earlier this year that yielded no deal on nuclear issues or ceasefire, despite Omani claims of progress. President Trump's fresh 48-hour ultimatum demands Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face infrastructure strikes, underscoring trader focus on escalation risks over near-term diplomacy amid ongoing military posturing and regional mediation failures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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