Market icon
地緣政治·Mbs

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Market icon
地緣政治·Mbs

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$111 交易量

Polymarket

June 30

$1 交易量

4%

December 31

$110 交易量

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto ruler**, serving as heir apparent under the absolute monarchy's Allegiance Council succession process while King Salman, now 90, holds a ceremonial role following his January 2026 hospital discharge for routine tests. No verified royal purges, coups, or family instability have emerged in the past 30 days, with unconfirmed social media rumors dismissed amid MBS's assertive foreign policy, including private lobbying of U.S. President Trump for Iran strikes in late February. Trader consensus reflects his power consolidation since the 2017 purge; key risks include the king's health decline or unforeseen diplomatic escalations, with no scheduled events like council meetings on the horizon.

**Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto ruler**, serving as heir apparent under the absolute monarchy's Allegiance Council succession process while King Salman, now 90, holds a ceremonial role following his January 2026 hospital discharge for routine tests. No verified royal purges, coups, or family instability have emerged in the past 30 days, with unconfirmed social media rumors dismissed amid MBS's assertive foreign policy, including private lobbying of U.S. President Trump for Iran strikes in late February. Trader consensus reflects his power consolidation since the 2017 purge; key risks include the king's health decline or unforeseen diplomatic escalations, with no scheduled events like council meetings on the horizon.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto ruler**, serving as heir apparent under the absolute monarchy's Allegiance Council succession process while King Salman, now 90, holds a ceremonial role following his January 2026 hospital discharge for routine tests. No verified royal purges, coups, or family instability have emerged in the past 30 days, with unconfirmed social media rumors dismissed amid MBS's assertive foreign policy, including private lobbying of U.S. President Trump for Iran strikes in late February. Trader consensus reflects his power consolidation since the 2017 purge; key risks include the king's health decline or unforeseen diplomatic escalations, with no scheduled events like council meetings on the horizon.

**Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman remains Saudi Arabia's unchallenged de facto ruler**, serving as heir apparent under the absolute monarchy's Allegiance Council succession process while King Salman, now 90, holds a ceremonial role following his January 2026 hospital discharge for routine tests. No verified royal purges, coups, or family instability have emerged in the past 30 days, with unconfirmed social media rumors dismissed amid MBS's assertive foreign policy, including private lobbying of U.S. President Trump for Iran strikes in late February. Trader consensus reflects his power consolidation since the 2017 purge; key risks include the king's health decline or unforeseen diplomatic escalations, with no scheduled events like council meetings on the horizon.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 11%, followed by "June 30" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" is "December 31" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.