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政治·特朗普

Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？

少於15分鐘 36%

20 - 25分鐘 35%

25 - 30分鐘 35%

30 - 35分鐘 31%

Polymarket
NEW

少於15分鐘 36%

20 - 25分鐘 35%

25 - 30分鐘 35%

30 - 35分鐘 31%

Polymarket
NEW

少於15分鐘

$2 交易量

36%

15 - 20分鐘

$10 交易量

23%

20 - 25分鐘

$0 交易量

35%

25 - 30分鐘

$0 交易量

35%

30 - 35分鐘

$0 交易量

31%

35 分鐘以上

$0 交易量

21%

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's punctuality to scheduled briefings remains unpredictable, with trader consensus pricing a tight contest among <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35%), and 25-30 minutes (34.5%) late, reflecting her recent pattern of moderate delays. In February, Leavitt apologized for starting late after monitoring breaking developments alongside President Trump, including national security updates, while January conferences saw slight delays amid Davos-related issues. Ongoing Iran tensions, recent airstrikes, troop surges, and domestic pressures like DHS funding threats and TSA disruptions heighten risks of last-minute executive consultations pulling her from the podium. A calm news cycle could favor on-time arrival, but escalation in foreign policy or agency actions may push delays beyond 25 minutes, creating separation.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少於15分鐘" at 36%, followed by "20 - 25分鐘" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" is "少於15分鐘" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20 - 25分鐘" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.