President Trump's recent remarks at the March 27 Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami, touting U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East, have elevated trader odds for related phrases like "Kuwait" at 65% and "Khamenei/Khomeini" at 50%, reflecting his focus on regional diplomacy and escalation pauses on Iranian energy strikes. Competitive probabilities around 40-54% for "Mad," "Knock-out Panel," and "Caravan" stem from consistent rhetorical patterns in cabinet meetings, farmer addresses, and press gaggles amid border security and domestic policy debates. Easter Sunday on April 5 boosts "Plastic Egg" (48%) and "April Fool" (46%) for holiday messaging, with no confirmed rallies but daily Truth Social posts monitored for verbatim matches through April 5.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NEW
Apr 5, 2026
Sunday
68%
Jerusalem
45%
Gay
35%
Epic Fury
67%
Kuwait
65%
Congo
47%
April Fool
53%
Mad
48%
Filibuster
57%
Knock-out Panel
43%
Unlimited Ammunition
43%
Delcy / Rodriguez
47%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
50%
Hot as a pistol
26%
Dark cloud
46%
Divider
60%
Mine dropper
60%
Plastic Egg
48%
Caravan
27%
UFC
44%
Hamas / Hezbollah
46%
Khamenei / Khomeini
46%
$632 交易量
Sunday
$52 交易量
68%
Jerusalem
$0 交易量
45%
Gay
$188 交易量
35%
Epic Fury
$0 交易量
67%
Kuwait
$0 交易量
65%
Congo
$0 交易量
47%
April Fool
$208 交易量
53%
Mad
$0 交易量
48%
Filibuster
$0 交易量
57%
Knock-out Panel
$0 交易量
43%
Unlimited Ammunition
$60 交易量
43%
Delcy / Rodriguez
$0 交易量
47%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
$48 交易量
50%
Hot as a pistol
$0 交易量
26%
Dark cloud
$0 交易量
46%
Divider
$0 交易量
60%
Mine dropper
$0 交易量
60%
Plastic Egg
$58 交易量
48%
Caravan
$4 交易量
27%
UFC
$0 交易量
44%
Hamas / Hezbollah
$0 交易量
46%
Khamenei / Khomeini
$13 交易量
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent remarks at the March 27 Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami, touting U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East, have elevated trader odds for related phrases like "Kuwait" at 65% and "Khamenei/Khomeini" at 50%, reflecting his focus on regional diplomacy and escalation pauses on Iranian energy strikes. Competitive probabilities around 40-54% for "Mad," "Knock-out Panel," and "Caravan" stem from consistent rhetorical patterns in cabinet meetings, farmer addresses, and press gaggles amid border security and domestic policy debates. Easter Sunday on April 5 boosts "Plastic Egg" (48%) and "April Fool" (46%) for holiday messaging, with no confirmed rallies but daily Truth Social posts monitored for verbatim matches through April 5.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
交易量
$632結束日期
Apr 5, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent remarks at the March 27 Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami, touting U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East, have elevated trader odds for related phrases like "Kuwait" at 65% and "Khamenei/Khomeini" at 50%, reflecting his focus on regional diplomacy and escalation pauses on Iranian energy strikes. Competitive probabilities around 40-54% for "Mad," "Knock-out Panel," and "Caravan" stem from consistent rhetorical patterns in cabinet meetings, farmer addresses, and press gaggles amid border security and domestic policy debates. Easter Sunday on April 5 boosts "Plastic Egg" (48%) and "April Fool" (46%) for holiday messaging, with no confirmed rallies but daily Truth Social posts monitored for verbatim matches through April 5.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$632結束日期
Apr 5, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent remarks at the March 27 Future Investment Initiative summit in Miami, touting U.S.-Israeli actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East, have elevated trader odds for related phrases like "Kuwait" at 65% and "Khamenei/Khomeini" at 50%, reflecting his focus on regional diplomacy and escalation pauses on Iranian energy strikes. Competitive probabilities around 40-54% for "Mad," "Knock-out Panel," and "Caravan" stem from consistent rhetorical patterns in cabinet meetings, farmer addresses, and press gaggles amid border security and domestic policy debates. Easter Sunday on April 5 boosts "Plastic Egg" (48%) and "April Fool" (46%) for holiday messaging, with no confirmed rallies but daily Truth Social posts monitored for verbatim matches through April 5.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions