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政治·特朗普

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Market icon
政治·特朗普

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Mar 28

Apr 4

Mar 28

Apr 4

NEW
Apr 4, 2026
Polymarket

$100 交易量

Polymarket

March 30

$0 交易量

45%

March 31

$0 交易量

45%

April 1

$0 交易量

45%

April 2

$0 交易量

44%

April 3

$0 交易量

45%

April 4

$100 交易量

45%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's confirmed three-day state visit to China from March 31 to April 2 represents the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for an early full lid, as international travel days typically feature abbreviated public schedules with lids called before departure and upon return to minimize evening events. The White House releases daily guidance each morning around 7-9 AM ET, listing the president's public activities; traders monitor for post-6:30 PM events like briefings, bill signings, or addresses, which would delay a lid. Recent full lids, such as on March 25 following a press briefing by Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, align with lighter itineraries, while ongoing Iran tensions—with a strike deadline extended into April—could spur unscheduled announcements but have not yet altered patterns. Markets await March 30 guidance for initial signals.

President Trump's confirmed three-day state visit to China from March 31 to April 2 represents the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for an early full lid, as international travel days typically feature abbreviated public schedules with lids called before departure and upon return to minimize evening events. The White House releases daily guidance each morning around 7-9 AM ET, listing the president's public activities; traders monitor for post-6:30 PM events like briefings, bill signings, or addresses, which would delay a lid. Recent full lids, such as on March 25 following a press briefing by Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, align with lighter itineraries, while ongoing Iran tensions—with a strike deadline extended into April—could spur unscheduled announcements but have not yet altered patterns. Markets await March 30 guidance for initial signals.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).President Trump's confirmed three-day state visit to China from March 31 to April 2 represents the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for an early full lid, as international travel days typically feature abbreviated public schedules with lids called before departure and upon return to minimize evening events. The White House releases daily guidance each morning around 7-9 AM ET, listing the president's public activities; traders monitor for post-6:30 PM events like briefings, bill signings, or addresses, which would delay a lid. Recent full lids, such as on March 25 following a press briefing by Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, align with lighter itineraries, while ongoing Iran tensions—with a strike deadline extended into April—could spur unscheduled announcements but have not yet altered patterns. Markets await March 30 guidance for initial signals.

President Trump's confirmed three-day state visit to China from March 31 to April 2 represents the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for an early full lid, as international travel days typically feature abbreviated public schedules with lids called before departure and upon return to minimize evening events. The White House releases daily guidance each morning around 7-9 AM ET, listing the president's public activities; traders monitor for post-6:30 PM events like briefings, bill signings, or addresses, which would delay a lid. Recent full lids, such as on March 25 following a press briefing by Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, align with lighter itineraries, while ongoing Iran tensions—with a strike deadline extended into April—could spur unscheduled announcements but have not yet altered patterns. Markets await March 30 guidance for initial signals.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "March 30" at 45%, followed by "March 31" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)" is "March 30" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.