Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating near 40.0–40.4% at over 50% implied probability for April 3, aligning with recent polling averages from aggregators like RealClearPolitics and Economist/YouGov showing 38–43% approval amid net negative ratings of -11 to -19 points. The ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, including mid-March airstrikes and retaliations, has driven the latest dips, with polls citing public unease over escalation, rising prices, and immigration handling as key drags—evident in Civiqs (47% approve, March 26) and AP-NORC (38%, March 19–23). Rasmussen reports higher at 46%, but broader disapproval near 55% reflects sustained pressure; upcoming weekly trackers could shift odds if economic data or diplomatic updates emerge before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Trump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
40.0–40.4 51%
39.5–39.9 22%
39.0–39.4 10%
40.5–40.9 8.0%
NEW
$22,143 交易量
NEW
$22,143 交易量
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
6%
39.0–39.4
10%
39.5–39.9
22%
40.0–40.4
51%
40.5–40.9
8%
41.0+
3%
40.0–40.4 51%
39.5–39.9 22%
39.0–39.4 10%
40.5–40.9 8.0%
NEW
$22,143 交易量
NEW
$22,143 交易量
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
$2,510 交易量
6%
39.0–39.4
$2,478 交易量
10%
39.5–39.9
$2,715 交易量
22%
40.0–40.4
$9,038 交易量
51%
40.5–40.9
$2,137 交易量
8%
41.0+
$3,265 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating near 40.0–40.4% at over 50% implied probability for April 3, aligning with recent polling averages from aggregators like RealClearPolitics and Economist/YouGov showing 38–43% approval amid net negative ratings of -11 to -19 points. The ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, including mid-March airstrikes and retaliations, has driven the latest dips, with polls citing public unease over escalation, rising prices, and immigration handling as key drags—evident in Civiqs (47% approve, March 26) and AP-NORC (38%, March 19–23). Rasmussen reports higher at 46%, but broader disapproval near 55% reflects sustained pressure; upcoming weekly trackers could shift odds if economic data or diplomatic updates emerge before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
交易量
$22,143結束日期
Apr 4, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating near 40.0–40.4% at over 50% implied probability for April 3, aligning with recent polling averages from aggregators like RealClearPolitics and Economist/YouGov showing 38–43% approval amid net negative ratings of -11 to -19 points. The ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, including mid-March airstrikes and retaliations, has driven the latest dips, with polls citing public unease over escalation, rising prices, and immigration handling as key drags—evident in Civiqs (47% approve, March 26) and AP-NORC (38%, March 19–23). Rasmussen reports higher at 46%, but broader disapproval near 55% reflects sustained pressure; upcoming weekly trackers could shift odds if economic data or diplomatic updates emerge before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$22,143結束日期
Apr 4, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's approval rating near 40.0–40.4% at over 50% implied probability for April 3, aligning with recent polling averages from aggregators like RealClearPolitics and Economist/YouGov showing 38–43% approval amid net negative ratings of -11 to -19 points. The ongoing U.S. conflict with Iran, including mid-March airstrikes and retaliations, has driven the latest dips, with polls citing public unease over escalation, rising prices, and immigration handling as key drags—evident in Civiqs (47% approve, March 26) and AP-NORC (38%, March 19–23). Rasmussen reports higher at 46%, but broader disapproval near 55% reflects sustained pressure; upcoming weekly trackers could shift odds if economic data or diplomatic updates emerge before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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