President Donald Trump's approval rating has plunged to record lows for his second term, averaging around 37-40% in late March polls from CNN, Silver Bulletin, and Economist trackers, with net approval dipping to -17 to -20 points. This downturn, accelerating over the past two weeks, stems primarily from a career-low 31% approval on handling the economy amid rising gas prices near $4 per gallon and persistent inflation worries, compounded by backlash to U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict that failed to produce a typical "rally around the flag" effect. Shifts among Latino voters and young men have eroded support, while top voter priorities—economy, jobs, and prices—highlight vulnerabilities ahead of 2026 midterm primaries starting in spring. Traders weigh potential rebounds from policy wins or de-escalation against historical precedents where economic malaise sustains sub-45% ratings through midterms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
10%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
$2,935 交易量
↑ 44%
12%
↑ 45%
11%
↑ 46%
10%
↑ 47%
5%
↑ 48%
7%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
6%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
市場開放時間: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's approval rating has plunged to record lows for his second term, averaging around 37-40% in late March polls from CNN, Silver Bulletin, and Economist trackers, with net approval dipping to -17 to -20 points. This downturn, accelerating over the past two weeks, stems primarily from a career-low 31% approval on handling the economy amid rising gas prices near $4 per gallon and persistent inflation worries, compounded by backlash to U.S. military actions in the Iran conflict that failed to produce a typical "rally around the flag" effect. Shifts among Latino voters and young men have eroded support, while top voter priorities—economy, jobs, and prices—highlight vulnerabilities ahead of 2026 midterm primaries starting in spring. Traders weigh potential rebounds from policy wins or de-escalation against historical precedents where economic malaise sustains sub-45% ratings through midterms.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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