Trader consensus favors Richard Branson at 22% for visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by January 2026 DOJ release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which referenced associations and planned trips for several listed figures like Steven Tisch (11%) and Elon Musk (2%) via emails and logs, yet provided no photographs, videos, or sworn testimony confirming actual presence. Pre-2019 flight logs implicated Bill Clinton (5%) and others, but denials and distinctions between flights and island visits temper probabilities. Resolution hinges on public evidence by June 30, 2026; upcoming congressional reviews and victim testimonies could shift odds amid persistent scrutiny of high-profile names.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$1,590,734 交易量
理查德·布蘭森
30%
凱文·史貝西
14%
伍迪·艾倫
14%
史蒂夫·班農
12%
史蒂文·蒂施
11%
Deepak Chopra
10%
比爾·考斯比
5%
比爾·克林頓
5%
麥可·傑克森
5%
比爾·蓋茲
5%
Noam Chomsky
5%
哈維·溫斯坦
5%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%
唐納德·川普
3%
彼得·阿提亞
3%
Jay-Z
3%
埃隆·馬斯克
2%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
$1,590,734 交易量
理查德·布蘭森
30%
凱文·史貝西
14%
伍迪·艾倫
14%
史蒂夫·班農
12%
史蒂文·蒂施
11%
Deepak Chopra
10%
比爾·考斯比
5%
比爾·克林頓
5%
麥可·傑克森
5%
比爾·蓋茲
5%
Noam Chomsky
5%
哈維·溫斯坦
5%
希拉蕊·柯林頓
4%
唐納德·川普
3%
彼得·阿提亞
3%
Jay-Z
3%
埃隆·馬斯克
2%
馬可·魯比奧
1%
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Richard Branson at 22% for visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, driven by January 2026 DOJ release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which referenced associations and planned trips for several listed figures like Steven Tisch (11%) and Elon Musk (2%) via emails and logs, yet provided no photographs, videos, or sworn testimony confirming actual presence. Pre-2019 flight logs implicated Bill Clinton (5%) and others, but denials and distinctions between flights and island visits temper probabilities. Resolution hinges on public evidence by June 30, 2026; upcoming congressional reviews and victim testimonies could shift odds amid persistent scrutiny of high-profile names.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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