誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？

Name: 誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？
Start: 2025-11-05T17:37:51.896Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

政治·特朗普

誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？

12月 31

$818,670 交易量

2026-12-31

圖爾西·加巴德

$13,392 交易量

64%

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$84,614 交易量

58%

Kash Patel

$152,064 交易量

56%

霍華德·盧特尼克

$35,185 交易量

51%

Pete Hegseth

$15,331 交易量

42%

約翰·拉特克利夫

$0 交易量

40%

李·澤爾丁

$23,741 交易量

38%

卡羅琳·利維特

$11,583 交易量

34%

大衛·薩克斯

$6,314 交易量

34%

蘇西·威爾斯

$39,639 交易量

33%

湯姆·霍曼

$39 交易量

28%

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$63,137 交易量

26%

斯蒂芬·米勒

$551 交易量

18%

Scott Bessent

$411 交易量

17%

馬可·魯比奧

$2,639 交易量

16%

羅素·沃特

$134 交易量

26%

丹·斯卡維諾

$31 交易量

33%

$818,670 交易量

圖爾西·加巴德

$13,392 交易量

64%

克莉絲蒂·諾姆

$84,614 交易量

58%

Kash Patel

$152,064 交易量

56%

霍華德·盧特尼克

$35,185 交易量

51%

Pete Hegseth

$15,331 交易量

42%

約翰·拉特克利夫

$0 交易量

40%

李·澤爾丁

$23,741 交易量

38%

卡羅琳·利維特

$11,583 交易量

34%

大衛·薩克斯

$6,314 交易量

34%

蘇西·威爾斯

$39,639 交易量

33%

湯姆·霍曼

$39 交易量

28%

羅伯特·F·甘迺迪二世

$63,137 交易量

26%

斯蒂芬·米勒

$551 交易量

18%

Scott Bessent

$411 交易量

17%

馬可·魯比奧

$2,639 交易量

16%

羅素·沃特

$134 交易量

26%

丹·斯卡維諾

$31 交易量

33%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pam Bondi" at 100%, followed by "丹·邦吉諾" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？" has generated $818.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？" is "Pam Bondi" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "丹·邦吉諾" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $818.7K traded on “誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Pam Bondi" in the "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Pam Bondi" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？" market has an active community of 68 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？

誰將在2027年之前離開特朗普政府？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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