Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 39.5–39.9% bin for President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating on April 10, 2026, reflecting the polling aggregator's published average amid sustained pressure from the recent Iran war escalation and subsequent ceasefire on April 8. Surging fuel prices and inflation concerns have eroded support, pushing net approval to -16.3%, a second-term low, despite stock market gains from de-escalation signals like Iran's Strait of Hormuz assurances. This skin-in-the-game pricing, stable over the past day, underscores minimal uncertainty in the fixed historical data point. Only an unprecedented retroactive adjustment by Silver Bulletin analysts could shift resolution, though such changes are exceedingly rare for finalized daily averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於39.5–39.9 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$73,814 交易量
$73,814 交易量
2026-04-11
<38.5
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
Yes
40.0–40.4
No
40.5+
No
39.5–39.9 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$73,814 交易量
$73,814 交易量
2026-04-11
<38.5
$20,663 交易量
No
38.5–38.9
$9,109 交易量
No
39.0–39.4
$9,528 交易量
No
39.5–39.9
$12,560 交易量
Yes
40.0–40.4
$9,051 交易量
No
40.5+
$12,902 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 39.5–39.9% bin for President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating on April 10, 2026, reflecting the polling aggregator's published average amid sustained pressure from the recent Iran war escalation and subsequent ceasefire on April 8. Surging fuel prices and inflation concerns have eroded support, pushing net approval to -16.3%, a second-term low, despite stock market gains from de-escalation signals like Iran's Strait of Hormuz assurances. This skin-in-the-game pricing, stable over the past day, underscores minimal uncertainty in the fixed historical data point. Only an unprecedented retroactive adjustment by Silver Bulletin analysts could shift resolution, though such changes are exceedingly rare for finalized daily averages.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$73,814結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 39.5–39.9% bin for President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating on April 10, 2026, reflecting the polling aggregator's published average amid sustained pressure from the recent Iran war escalation and subsequent ceasefire on April 8. Surging fuel prices and inflation concerns have eroded support, pushing net approval to -16.3%, a second-term low, despite stock market gains from de-escalation signals like Iran's Strait of Hormuz assurances. This skin-in-the-game pricing, stable over the past day, underscores minimal uncertainty in the fixed historical data point. Only an unprecedented retroactive adjustment by Silver Bulletin analysts could shift resolution, though such changes are exceedingly rare for finalized daily averages.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$73,814結束日期
2026-04-11市場開放時間
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the 39.5–39.9% bin for President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating on April 10, 2026, reflecting the polling aggregator's published average amid sustained pressure from the recent Iran war escalation and subsequent ceasefire on April 8. Surging fuel prices and inflation concerns have eroded support, pushing net approval to -16.3%, a second-term low, despite stock market gains from de-escalation signals like Iran's Strait of Hormuz assurances. This skin-in-the-game pricing, stable over the past day, underscores minimal uncertainty in the fixed historical data point. Only an unprecedented retroactive adjustment by Silver Bulletin analysts could shift resolution, though such changes are exceedingly rare for finalized daily averages.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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