Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors low post counts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 3–10, with <5 posts at 36.5% slightly edging 5–9 at 31.0%, keeping the race tight amid variable recent activity. Since Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli strikes sparking ongoing war, the account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—ramped up reposts of his prior quotes, logging 3–5 weekly in late March (e.g., 4 from March 20–27, 2 so far March 27–April 3). New Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's confirmed good health but security-driven absence from public view adds uncertainty, as does potential for escalation signals or UN Security Council Middle East debate to boost output, while operational constraints in wartime could suppress it.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Khamenei # posts 2026年4月3日至4月10日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年4月3日至4月10日？
<5 36%
5-9 31%
10-14 25%
15-19 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-10
<5
36%
5-9
31%
10-14
25%
15-19
15%
20-24
12%
25-29
10%
30-34
11%
35-39
8%
40-44
8%
45-49
8%
50-54
8%
55-59
8%
60+
6%
<5 36%
5-9 31%
10-14 25%
15-19 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-10
<5
$294 交易量
36%
5-9
$6 交易量
31%
10-14
$0 交易量
25%
15-19
$0 交易量
15%
20-24
$20 交易量
12%
25-29
$40 交易量
10%
30-34
$0 交易量
11%
35-39
$41 交易量
8%
40-44
$31 交易量
8%
45-49
$31 交易量
8%
50-54
$31 交易量
8%
55-59
$31 交易量
8%
60+
$81 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors low post counts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 3–10, with <5 posts at 36.5% slightly edging 5–9 at 31.0%, keeping the race tight amid variable recent activity. Since Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli strikes sparking ongoing war, the account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—ramped up reposts of his prior quotes, logging 3–5 weekly in late March (e.g., 4 from March 20–27, 2 so far March 27–April 3). New Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's confirmed good health but security-driven absence from public view adds uncertainty, as does potential for escalation signals or UN Security Council Middle East debate to boost output, while operational constraints in wartime could suppress it.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$604結束日期
2026-04-10市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors low post counts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 3–10, with <5 posts at 36.5% slightly edging 5–9 at 31.0%, keeping the race tight amid variable recent activity. Since Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli strikes sparking ongoing war, the account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—ramped up reposts of his prior quotes, logging 3–5 weekly in late March (e.g., 4 from March 20–27, 2 so far March 27–April 3). New Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's confirmed good health but security-driven absence from public view adds uncertainty, as does potential for escalation signals or UN Security Council Middle East debate to boost output, while operational constraints in wartime could suppress it.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$604結束日期
2026-04-10市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors low post counts from Ayatollah Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account during April 3–10, with <5 posts at 36.5% slightly edging 5–9 at 31.0%, keeping the race tight amid variable recent activity. Since Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination in US-Israeli strikes sparking ongoing war, the account—now featuring statements from the "martyred Leader"—ramped up reposts of his prior quotes, logging 3–5 weekly in late March (e.g., 4 from March 20–27, 2 so far March 27–April 3). New Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's confirmed good health but security-driven absence from public view adds uncertainty, as does potential for escalation signals or UN Security Council Middle East debate to boost output, while operational constraints in wartime could suppress it.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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