Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's recent X posting pace, averaging 28-32 tweets daily during March 24-31 (223 total posts per trackers), positioning 65-89 tweets (34% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner for April 2-4 ahead of 40-64 (30%). The neck-and-neck race stems from Musk's variable social media rhythms—dips below 20 daily during SpaceX launches or Tesla deadlines contrast spikes from viral Grok AI demos, Optimus robot updates, and Boring Company milestones, as seen in his active March 31 morning thread promoting platform features. Key swing factors include potential Q1 earnings buzz or government efficiency (DOGE) distractions, with real-time trackers like XTracker pivotal for late positioning as the short window nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日？
Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日？
65-89 34%
40-64 31%
90-114 20%
115-139 8%
最新
$43,714 交易量
最新
$43,714 交易量
2026-04-04
少於40條
6%
40-64
31%
65-89
34%
90-114
20%
115-139
8%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 34%
40-64 31%
90-114 20%
115-139 8%
最新
$43,714 交易量
最新
$43,714 交易量
2026-04-04
少於40條
$5,485 交易量
6%
40-64
$2,961 交易量
31%
65-89
$2,759 交易量
34%
90-114
$2,767 交易量
20%
115-139
$3,333 交易量
8%
140-164
$3,902 交易量
2%
165-189
$3,900 交易量
1%
190-214
$3,053 交易量
1%
215-239
$8,417 交易量
<1%
240+
$7,227 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's recent X posting pace, averaging 28-32 tweets daily during March 24-31 (223 total posts per trackers), positioning 65-89 tweets (34% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner for April 2-4 ahead of 40-64 (30%). The neck-and-neck race stems from Musk's variable social media rhythms—dips below 20 daily during SpaceX launches or Tesla deadlines contrast spikes from viral Grok AI demos, Optimus robot updates, and Boring Company milestones, as seen in his active March 31 morning thread promoting platform features. Key swing factors include potential Q1 earnings buzz or government efficiency (DOGE) distractions, with real-time trackers like XTracker pivotal for late positioning as the short window nears.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$43,714結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's recent X posting pace, averaging 28-32 tweets daily during March 24-31 (223 total posts per trackers), positioning 65-89 tweets (34% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner for April 2-4 ahead of 40-64 (30%). The neck-and-neck race stems from Musk's variable social media rhythms—dips below 20 daily during SpaceX launches or Tesla deadlines contrast spikes from viral Grok AI demos, Optimus robot updates, and Boring Company milestones, as seen in his active March 31 morning thread promoting platform features. Key swing factors include potential Q1 earnings buzz or government efficiency (DOGE) distractions, with real-time trackers like XTracker pivotal for late positioning as the short window nears.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$43,714結束日期
2026-04-04市場開放時間
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's recent X posting pace, averaging 28-32 tweets daily during March 24-31 (223 total posts per trackers), positioning 65-89 tweets (34% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner for April 2-4 ahead of 40-64 (30%). The neck-and-neck race stems from Musk's variable social media rhythms—dips below 20 daily during SpaceX launches or Tesla deadlines contrast spikes from viral Grok AI demos, Optimus robot updates, and Boring Company milestones, as seen in his active March 31 morning thread promoting platform features. Key swing factors include potential Q1 earnings buzz or government efficiency (DOGE) distractions, with real-time trackers like XTracker pivotal for late positioning as the short window nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions