Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月31日最富有的人?
3月31日最富有的人?
伊隆·馬斯克 100.0%
拉里·埃里森 <1%
伯納·阿爾諾 <1%
黃仁勳 <1%
$639,515 交易量
$639,515 交易量

拉里·埃里森
否

伯納·阿爾諾
否

黃仁勳
否

史蒂夫·鮑爾默
否

謝爾蓋·布林
否

伊隆·馬斯克
是

馬克·祖克柏
否

傑夫·貝索斯
否

華倫·巴菲特
否

拉里·佩奇
否
伊隆·馬斯克 100.0%
拉里·埃里森 <1%
伯納·阿爾諾 <1%
黃仁勳 <1%
$639,515 交易量
$639,515 交易量

拉里·埃里森
否

伯納·阿爾諾
否

黃仁勳
否

史蒂夫·鮑爾默
否

謝爾蓋·布林
否

伊隆·馬斯克
是

馬克·祖克柏
否

傑夫·貝索斯
否

華倫·巴菲特
否

拉里·佩奇
否
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
市場開放時間: Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions