MrBeast's announcement yesterday of his April 4 premiere—50 top streamers battling in a cube for a $1 million prize pool distributed directly to fans, hailed as his "best video ever"—has fueled trader consensus leaning toward 110M+ week 1 YouTube views at 27.5% implied probability. The closely contested 80-110M range (top buckets at 21.5% each) mirrors recent performance swings: high-stakes challenges like "Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" surged to 106M views in three weeks, while philanthropy efforts such as "I Built 10 Schools Around The World" lagged at 55M total in a month. Key swings include streamer fanbases driving viral shares, elevated production values, and a pivot to OG-style thumbnails, with post-upload algorithmic momentum critical after April 4.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
110M+ 29%
100-110M 22%
90-100M 20%
80-90M 18%
$19,701 交易量
$19,701 交易量
<60M
2%
60-70M
6%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
18%
90-100M
22%
100-110M
22%
110M+
29%
110M+ 29%
100-110M 22%
90-100M 20%
80-90M 18%
$19,701 交易量
$19,701 交易量
<60M
2%
60-70M
6%
70-80M
6%
80-90M
18%
90-100M
22%
100-110M
22%
110M+
29%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Mar 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast's announcement yesterday of his April 4 premiere—50 top streamers battling in a cube for a $1 million prize pool distributed directly to fans, hailed as his "best video ever"—has fueled trader consensus leaning toward 110M+ week 1 YouTube views at 27.5% implied probability. The closely contested 80-110M range (top buckets at 21.5% each) mirrors recent performance swings: high-stakes challenges like "Stranded With Your Ex, Win $250,000" surged to 106M views in three weeks, while philanthropy efforts such as "I Built 10 Schools Around The World" lagged at 55M total in a month. Key swings include streamer fanbases driving viral shares, elevated production values, and a pivot to OG-style thumbnails, with post-upload algorithmic momentum critical after April 4.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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