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GTA VI在2026年6月之前發布？

Market icon

GTA VI在2026年6月之前發布？

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$13,634,656 交易量

是

1% 機率
Polymarket

$13,634,656 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, with "No" at a market-implied 98.6% probability, driven by Rockstar Games' official November 6, 2025 announcement pushing the launch to November 19, 2026—five months past the deadline—for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S. This follows prior delays from a fall 2025 target to May 26, 2026, underscoring Rockstar's perfectionist development process amid massive scope and quality demands typical for the Grand Theft Auto franchise. Take-Two Interactive's February 2026 earnings reaffirmed the timeline, with marketing set to ramp up this summer, signaling no acceleration. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim: an unprecedented content cut or certification miracle could theoretically enable an early drop, but historical patterns and current in-game footage from Trailer 2 (May 2025) indicate polish priorities will hold firm through fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
交易量
$13,634,656
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" for GTA VI releasing before June 2026, with "No" at a market-implied 98.6% probability, driven by Rockstar Games' official November 6, 2025 announcement pushing the launch to November 19, 2026—five months past the deadline—for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S. This follows prior delays from a fall 2025 target to May 26, 2026, underscoring Rockstar's perfectionist development process amid massive scope and quality demands typical for the Grand Theft Auto franchise. Take-Two Interactive's February 2026 earnings reaffirmed the timeline, with marketing set to ramp up this summer, signaling no acceleration. Realistic upset scenarios remain slim: an unprecedented content cut or certification miracle could theoretically enable an early drop, but historical patterns and current in-game footage from Trailer 2 (May 2025) indicate polish priorities will hold firm through fall.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
交易量
$13,634,733
結束日期
2026-05-31
市場開放時間
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"GTA VI在2026年6月之前發布？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "GTA VI會在2026年6月前推出嗎？" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GTA VI在2026年6月之前發布？" has generated $13.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on May 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GTA VI在2026年6月之前發布？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "GTA VI在2026年6月之前發布？" is "GTA VI會在2026年6月前推出嗎？" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "GTA VI在2026年6月之前發布？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.