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icon for Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？
政治·市長

Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？

icon for Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？
政治·市長

Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？

是

49% 機率
Polymarket
最新

是

49% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s brief 2010s rap tenure as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom produced a 2016 EP and multilingual tracks like “#1 Spice,” but his pivot to full-time politics has yielded no new material. As NYC mayor, Mamdani’s focus remains on affordability and governance, with recent tax filings showing only modest ongoing royalties from the old catalog amid 2025 streaming spikes tied to his campaign. Traders see the 55% “No” probability as reflecting this decade-long absence of releases and the absence of any announced projects or promotional activity. Historical patterns of politicians shelving side careers further support the edge for no new song, with no guild-style precursors or chart trajectories signaling momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.

If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.

A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.

The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s brief 2010s rap tenure as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom produced a 2016 EP and multilingual tracks like “#1 Spice,” but his pivot to full-time politics has yielded no new material. As NYC mayor, Mamdani’s focus remains on affordability and governance, with recent tax filings showing only modest ongoing royalties from the old catalog amid 2025 streaming spikes tied to his campaign. Traders see the 55% “No” probability as reflecting this decade-long absence of releases and the absence of any announced projects or promotional activity. Historical patterns of politicians shelving side careers further support the edge for no new song, with no guild-style precursors or chart trajectories signaling momentum.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.

If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.

A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.

The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify. If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count. A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs. The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zohran Mamdani會再發行另一首歌嗎？" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？" is "Zohran Mamdani會再發行另一首歌嗎？" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zohran Mamdani會發行另一首歌嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.