美聯儲降息... ？

Name: 美聯儲降息... ？
Start: 2025-12-16T19:36:41.877Z
End: 2026-06-17T00:00:00.000Z

美聯儲降息... ？ — 討論

Equoia · 2025-12-16T19:36:41.877Z

關於美聯儲降息... ？的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

經濟艙·Fed

美聯儲降息... ？

$1,253,478 交易量

2026-04-29

4月會議

$325,592 交易量

六月會議

$148,512 交易量

12%

7月會議

$27,258 交易量

25%

九月會議

$77,848 交易量

45%

十月會議

$36,142 交易量

53%

12月會議

$50,981 交易量

64%

$1,253,478 交易量

4月會議

$325,592 交易量

六月會議

$148,512 交易量

12%

7月會議

$27,258 交易量

25%

九月會議

$77,848 交易量

45%

十月會議

$36,142 交易量

53%

12月會議

$50,981 交易量

64%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2026, currently scheduled for April 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美聯儲降息... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月會議" at 64%, followed by "十月會議" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美聯儲降息... ？" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美聯儲降息... ？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美聯儲降息... ？" is "12月會議" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "十月會議" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美聯儲降息... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "美聯儲降息... ？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.3 million traded on “美聯儲降息... ？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "美聯儲降息... ？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 64¢ for "12月會議" in the "美聯儲降息... ？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 64% chance that "12月會議" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 64¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 36¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "美聯儲降息... ？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 17, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "美聯儲降息... ？" market has an active community of 16 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "美聯儲降息... ？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

美聯儲降息... ？

美聯儲降息... ？

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規則

盤口背景

評論 (16)

頂級持倉者

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "美聯儲降息... ？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "美聯儲降息... ？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "美聯儲降息... ？"?

What are the current odds for "美聯儲降息... ？"?

How will "美聯儲降息... ？" be resolved?

Can I follow "美聯儲降息... ？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "美聯儲降息... ？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "美聯儲降息... ？"?

What does a price of 64¢ for "12月會議" mean?

When does the "美聯儲降息... ？" market close?

What are traders saying about "美聯儲降息... ？"?

What is Polymarket?