Market icon
政治·特朗普

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控？

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$243,430 交易量

是

2% 機率
Polymarket

$243,430 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will not face federal charges by June 30, driven by recent judicial rebukes to the DOJ's criminal probe. In January 2026, U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro launched an investigation into Powell's June 2025 Senate testimony on a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, alleging potential false statements. However, on March 13, Chief Judge James Boasberg quashed grand jury subpoenas, deeming them a pretext to pressure Fed independence amid President Trump's rate-cut demands, citing zero evidence of crimes. Prosecutors confirmed on March 24 no basis for charges, hobbling the inquiry despite DOJ appeals. With three months left, barriers include Fed protections and evidentiary voids, though revived subpoenas or new evidence could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$243,430
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will not face federal charges by June 30, driven by recent judicial rebukes to the DOJ's criminal probe. In January 2026, U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro launched an investigation into Powell's June 2025 Senate testimony on a $2.5 billion Fed headquarters renovation, alleging potential false statements. However, on March 13, Chief Judge James Boasberg quashed grand jury subpoenas, deeming them a pretext to pressure Fed independence amid President Trump's rate-cut demands, citing zero evidence of crimes. Prosecutors confirmed on March 24 no basis for charges, hobbling the inquiry despite DOJ appeals. With three months left, barriers include Fed protections and evidentiary voids, though revived subpoenas or new evidence could shift odds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$243,430
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 11, 2026, 8:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑洛姆·鮑爾會在6月30日前被聯邦起訴嗎？" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控？" has generated $243.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控？" is "傑洛姆·鮑爾會在6月30日前被聯邦起訴嗎？" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾在6月30日之前被聯邦指控？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.