President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, transmitted to the Senate on March 4 for a four-year term succeeding Jerome Powell after his May 15 term ends, remains active with no official withdrawal signals or reported negotiations to pull it back. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects Warsh's established credentials from his 2006–2011 Board of Governors tenure, broad initial acclaim, and the administration's commitment amid ongoing Senate review process, including potential confirmation hearings. High confidence stems from absence of substantive opposition or scandals in recent weeks, though late-breaking developments like unexpected Senate holds, personal withdrawal by Warsh, or shifts in White House priorities could still prompt revocation before the deadline. Powell has affirmed he will serve until a successor is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$65,673 交易量
$65,673 交易量
2026-05-15
是
$65,673 交易量
$65,673 交易量
2026-05-15
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, transmitted to the Senate on March 4 for a four-year term succeeding Jerome Powell after his May 15 term ends, remains active with no official withdrawal signals or reported negotiations to pull it back. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects Warsh's established credentials from his 2006–2011 Board of Governors tenure, broad initial acclaim, and the administration's commitment amid ongoing Senate review process, including potential confirmation hearings. High confidence stems from absence of substantive opposition or scandals in recent weeks, though late-breaking developments like unexpected Senate holds, personal withdrawal by Warsh, or shifts in White House priorities could still prompt revocation before the deadline. Powell has affirmed he will serve until a successor is confirmed.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
交易量
$65,673結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, transmitted to the Senate on March 4 for a four-year term succeeding Jerome Powell after his May 15 term ends, remains active with no official withdrawal signals or reported negotiations to pull it back. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects Warsh's established credentials from his 2006–2011 Board of Governors tenure, broad initial acclaim, and the administration's commitment amid ongoing Senate review process, including potential confirmation hearings. High confidence stems from absence of substantive opposition or scandals in recent weeks, though late-breaking developments like unexpected Senate holds, personal withdrawal by Warsh, or shifts in White House priorities could still prompt revocation before the deadline. Powell has affirmed he will serve until a successor is confirmed.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$65,673結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair, transmitted to the Senate on March 4 for a four-year term succeeding Jerome Powell after his May 15 term ends, remains active with no official withdrawal signals or reported negotiations to pull it back. Trader consensus at 98% "No" reflects Warsh's established credentials from his 2006–2011 Board of Governors tenure, broad initial acclaim, and the administration's commitment amid ongoing Senate review process, including potential confirmation hearings. High confidence stems from absence of substantive opposition or scandals in recent weeks, though late-breaking developments like unexpected Senate holds, personal withdrawal by Warsh, or shifts in White House priorities could still prompt revocation before the deadline. Powell has affirmed he will serve until a successor is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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