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政治·Fed

在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

Market icon
政治·Fed

在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

4月 29

4月 29

1 69%

2 22%

3 6%

0 2.0%

Polymarket

$50,784 交易量

1 69%

2 22%

3 6%

0 2.0%

Polymarket

$50,784 交易量

0

$4,662 交易量

2%

1

$16,258 交易量

69%

2

$8,991 交易量

24%

3

$2,908 交易量

6%

4+

$17,964 交易量

<1%

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting persistent policy divisions exposed in the March 17-18 minutes released April 8, where Stephen I. Miran dissented for a 25 basis point rate cut amid downside labor market risks at 4.4% unemployment, while most participants noted upside inflation pressures from Middle East-driven oil surges pushing core PCE to 3.0-3.1%. This follows January's two dissents from Miran and Waller, signaling eroding unanimity on the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds range versus one projected 2026 cut. A 24.5% chance of two dissents prices potential escalation if employment softens further or inflation persists, with upcoming April data releases as key catalysts before resolution.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$50,784
結束日期
2026-04-29
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 67% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting, reflecting persistent policy divisions exposed in the March 17-18 minutes released April 8, where Stephen I. Miran dissented for a 25 basis point rate cut amid downside labor market risks at 4.4% unemployment, while most participants noted upside inflation pressures from Middle East-driven oil surges pushing core PCE to 3.0-3.1%. This follows January's two dissents from Miran and Waller, signaling eroding unanimity on the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds range versus one projected 2026 cut. A 24.5% chance of two dissents prices potential escalation if employment softens further or inflation persists, with upcoming April data releases as key catalysts before resolution.

The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$50,784
結束日期
2026-04-29
市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1" at 69%, followed by "2" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" has generated $50.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is "1" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在下次聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.