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預測與賠率

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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

26%

December 31

$17M 交易量

$349K today

$397K Liq.

166

Ends 7 個月內

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

46%

December 31

$8M 交易量

$269K today

$187K Liq.

123

Ends 7 個月內

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

9%

$672K 交易量

$29.5K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

22%

$1M 交易量

$26.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

53%

$302K 交易量

$42.3K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

23%

Oil Sanction Relief

$3M 交易量

$246K today

$150K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

71%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

125

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

51%

December 31, 2027

$481K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

33

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

70%

↑ $4,600

$723K 交易量

$149K Liq.

4

Ends 11 天內

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

77%

↑ 78

$471K 交易量

$120K Liq.

4

Ends 11 天內

U.S. nuclear test by...?

U.S. nuclear test by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$667K 交易量

$38.0K Liq.

22

Ends 大約 2 個月前

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

29%

$22.8K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

81%

50

$19.2K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

36%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

8%

$195K 交易量

$22.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

62%

$569K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Russia nuclear test by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

8%

December 31, 2026

$1M 交易量

$35.8K Liq.

7

Ends 大約 2 個月前

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

47%

↓ 75,000

$24M 交易量

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 11 天內

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

70%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$10.9K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

9%

May 31

$154K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

10

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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