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經濟艙·文化

《Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition》

Market icon
經濟艙·文化

《Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition》

是

>99% 機率
Polymarket

$145,155 交易量

是

>99% 機率
Polymarket

$145,155 交易量

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition" has locked in at 100% Yes, reflecting the market window—from January 19 to March 31, 2026—closing without Jerome Powell being ousted as Fed Chair, federally charged, or arrested. This near-certain positioning stems from President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor without forcing Powell out prematurely, alongside no legal actions materializing amid routine Fed activities like the March 18 rate hold and Powell's recent Harvard remarks on energy shocks. With the deadline passed and Powell still in post ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC—potentially his last—traders see zero catalysts for a No resolution. Realistic upsets are negligible post-deadline, barring rare disputes over resolution reporting, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game efficiency.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation
and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair
- Jerome Powell federally charged
- Jerome Powell arrested

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf
交易量
$145,155
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's "Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition" has locked in at 100% Yes, reflecting the market window—from January 19 to March 31, 2026—closing without Jerome Powell being ousted as Fed Chair, federally charged, or arrested. This near-certain positioning stems from President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor without forcing Powell out prematurely, alongside no legal actions materializing amid routine Fed activities like the March 18 rate hold and Powell's recent Harvard remarks on energy shocks. With the deadline passed and Powell still in post ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC—potentially his last—traders see zero catalysts for a No resolution. Realistic upsets are negligible post-deadline, barring rare disputes over resolution reporting, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game efficiency.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation
and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair
- Jerome Powell federally charged
- Jerome Powell arrested

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf
交易量
$145,155
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair - Jerome Powell federally charged - Jerome Powell arrested Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHJeromePowellEdition.pdf

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"《Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition》" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "什麼事都不會發生：傑羅姆·鮑威爾特別篇" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "《Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition》" has generated $145.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "《Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition》," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "《Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition》" is "什麼事都不會發生：傑羅姆·鮑威爾特別篇" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "《Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition》" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.