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特朗普會試圖在3月31日之前解僱鮑威爾嗎?

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特朗普會試圖在3月31日之前解僱鮑威爾嗎?

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$48,042 交易量

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$48,042 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the March 31 deadline now passed on April 1, traders express near-unanimous confidence at 100% "No" that President Trump attempted to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, as no public announcement, draft letter, executive order, or legal maneuver materialized despite prior rhetoric. Key factors include statutory limits requiring "for cause" removal, Supreme Court signals in January 2026 inclined against unilateral dismissal, and Trump's own statements disavowing plans as recently as mid-January amid a DOJ probe into Fed influence. Powell affirmed on March 18 he would remain until a successor like Kevin Warsh is confirmed post his May 15 chair term end. Late-breaking revelations remain improbable given real-time reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$48,042
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the March 31 deadline now passed on April 1, traders express near-unanimous confidence at 100% "No" that President Trump attempted to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, as no public announcement, draft letter, executive order, or legal maneuver materialized despite prior rhetoric. Key factors include statutory limits requiring "for cause" removal, Supreme Court signals in January 2026 inclined against unilateral dismissal, and Trump's own statements disavowing plans as recently as mid-January amid a DOJ probe into Fed influence. Powell affirmed on March 18 he would remain until a successor like Kevin Warsh is confirmed post his May 15 chair term end. Late-breaking revelations remain improbable given real-time reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$48,042
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會試圖在3月31日之前解僱鮑威爾嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普會在3月31日前試圖解僱鮑威爾嗎?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會試圖在3月31日之前解僱鮑威爾嗎?" has generated $48K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會試圖在3月31日之前解僱鮑威爾嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普會試圖在3月31日之前解僱鮑威爾嗎?" is "特朗普會在3月31日前試圖解僱鮑威爾嗎?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會試圖在3月31日之前解僱鮑威爾嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.