Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1519 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, implying roughly 43-49 posts daily, mirroring his verified 2024 averages of 1300-1600 monthly amid sustained high activity from political commentary, Tesla updates, and xAI promotions. No major shifts in the past 30 days—recent weeks logged typical 300+ tweets—with leading bins deadlocked due to minor fluctuations in daily volume tied to real-time events like earnings calls or viral memes. Differentiators include upside risks from election-year buzz or platform enhancements boosting engagement, versus potential dips from travel or controversies; absent confirmed changes to his social media habits, historical patterns and skin-in-the-game bets anchor the tight race near 1400-1500.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於1320-1359 19.4%
1480-1519 19.4%
1400-1439 12.9%
1360-1399 11.2%
$35,713 交易量
$35,713 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
5%
1120-1159
6%
1160-1199
6%
1200-1239
9%
1240-1279
10%
1280-1319
11%
1320-1359
19%
1360-1399
11%
1400-1439
10%
1440-1479
11%
1480-1519
19%
1520-1559
8%
1560-1599
16%
1600-1679
3%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
9%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
2%
1320-1359 19.4%
1480-1519 19.4%
1400-1439 12.9%
1360-1399 11.2%
$35,713 交易量
$35,713 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
<1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
1%
920-959
2%
960-999
2%
1000-1039
2%
1040-1079
5%
1080-1119
5%
1120-1159
6%
1160-1199
6%
1200-1239
9%
1240-1279
10%
1280-1319
11%
1320-1359
19%
1360-1399
11%
1400-1439
10%
1440-1479
11%
1480-1519
19%
1520-1559
8%
1560-1599
16%
1600-1679
3%
1680-1759
1%
1760-1839
9%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
2%
2000+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1519 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, implying roughly 43-49 posts daily, mirroring his verified 2024 averages of 1300-1600 monthly amid sustained high activity from political commentary, Tesla updates, and xAI promotions. No major shifts in the past 30 days—recent weeks logged typical 300+ tweets—with leading bins deadlocked due to minor fluctuations in daily volume tied to real-time events like earnings calls or viral memes. Differentiators include upside risks from election-year buzz or platform enhancements boosting engagement, versus potential dips from travel or controversies; absent confirmed changes to his social media habits, historical patterns and skin-in-the-game bets anchor the tight race near 1400-1500.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions