Trader consensus on Polymarket for Trump's posts during March 23-29 centers on his frequent Truth Social commentary about ongoing legal challenges and 2024 election themes, with heavy weighting toward critiques of Democrats and claims of judicial bias. A key recent catalyst was the March 25 New York appeals court decision reducing Trump's civil fraud appeal bond from $464 million to $175 million, prompting immediate posts celebrating it as a victory against "weaponized" lawfare. The March 26 Baltimore bridge collapse drew rapid commentary blaming Biden administration infrastructure policies. No major primaries occurred, but traders eye potential weekend reactions to NCAA March Madness brackets or campaign fundraising updates, underscoring Trump's pattern of real-time issue amplification that shapes daily posting probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於NATO
68%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
29%
Ballroom
40%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
27%
Panican
34%
Free Tina Peters
36%
Peace Through Strength
67%
Epic Fury
46%
Bully of the Middle East
28%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
38%
Excursion
29%
FBI
56%
Evil Empire
28%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
47%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
38%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
67%
Congresswoman
47%
Texas
47%
Spain
32%
$77 交易量
NATO
68%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
29%
Ballroom
40%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
27%
Panican
34%
Free Tina Peters
36%
Peace Through Strength
67%
Epic Fury
46%
Bully of the Middle East
28%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
38%
Excursion
29%
FBI
56%
Evil Empire
28%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
47%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
38%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
67%
Congresswoman
47%
Texas
47%
Spain
32%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市場開放時間: Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket for Trump's posts during March 23-29 centers on his frequent Truth Social commentary about ongoing legal challenges and 2024 election themes, with heavy weighting toward critiques of Democrats and claims of judicial bias. A key recent catalyst was the March 25 New York appeals court decision reducing Trump's civil fraud appeal bond from $464 million to $175 million, prompting immediate posts celebrating it as a victory against "weaponized" lawfare. The March 26 Baltimore bridge collapse drew rapid commentary blaming Biden administration infrastructure policies. No major primaries occurred, but traders eye potential weekend reactions to NCAA March Madness brackets or campaign fundraising updates, underscoring Trump's pattern of real-time issue amplification that shapes daily posting probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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