Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？

Name: Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？
Start: 2026-03-20T17:15:49.605Z
End: 2026-04-30T00:00:00.000Z

政治·Leavitt

Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？

5 - 10 minutes 30%

<5 minutes 17%

10 - 15 minutes 17%

15 - 20 minutes 16%

NEW

Apr 30, 2026

<5 minutes

$114 交易量

17%

5 - 10 minutes

$0 交易量

30%

10 - 15 minutes

$0 交易量

17%

15 - 20 minutes

$0 交易量

16%

20 - 25 minutes

$0 交易量

14%

25分鐘以上

$0 交易量

15%

5 - 10 minutes 30%

<5 minutes 17%

10 - 15 minutes 17%

15 - 20 minutes 16%

NEW

Apr 30, 2026

<5 minutes

$114 交易量

17%

5 - 10 minutes

$0 交易量

30%

10 - 15 minutes

$0 交易量

17%

15 - 20 minutes

$0 交易量

16%

20 - 25 minutes

$0 交易量

14%

25分鐘以上

$0 交易量

15%

This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Karoline Leavitt arriving 5-10 minutes late to the next White House press briefing at 32.5% implied probability, reflecting her pattern in recent sessions where delays in that range occurred most frequently amid transition logistics and preparation routines. Other intervals trail closely in a fragmented field, with under 5 minutes at 16.5% buoyed by occasional on-time starts, while 10-15 and 15-20 minutes each hover around 16% based on sporadic longer waits tied to prior events. Key differentiators include historical arrival data from C-SPAN streams and real-time X updates, plus variables like East Room preceding commitments or traffic. Support could consolidate toward 5-10 minutes if live feeds confirm standard prep overruns, or shift to longer delays on unexpected announcements.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於 Mar 23, 2026, 9:03 AM UTC

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5 - 10 minutes" at 31%, followed by "<5 minutes" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" is "5 - 10 minutes" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<5 minutes" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 31¢ for "5 - 10 minutes" in the "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 31% chance that "5 - 10 minutes" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 31¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 69¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？

Leavitt下次新聞發佈會會遲到多久？

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Frequently Asked Questions

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