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選舉·世界選舉

2026年玻利維亞州長選舉：政黨贏家

Market icon
選舉·世界選舉

2026年玻利維亞州長選舉：政黨贏家

基督教民主黨（PDC） 9%

社會主義運動（MAS-IPSP） 2.9%

自由－自由與民主（LIBRE） 0

人民聯盟（AP） 0

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

基督教民主黨（PDC） 9%

社會主義運動（MAS-IPSP） 2.9%

自由－自由與民主（LIBRE） 0

人民聯盟（AP） 0

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

Market icon

基督教民主黨（PDC）

$0 交易量

23%

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社會主義運動（MAS-IPSP）

$0 交易量

3%

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自由－自由與民主（LIBRE）

$0 交易量

50%

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人民聯盟（AP）

$0 交易量

43%

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團結聯盟（UNIDAD）

$0 交易量

43%

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玻利維亞自治－蘇馬特（APB Súmate）

$0 交易量

43%

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).First-round results from the March 22 subnational elections fragmented Bolivia's nine gubernatorial races, with only Pando (LIBRE at 47%) and Potosí (Alianza Social at 42%) decided outright, leaving seven departments headed to April 19 runoffs amid no candidate surpassing 50% or a 40-point lead. Trader consensus favors LIBRE at 49% implied probability for most wins, driven by its Santa Cruz lead (28%) in the economic hub and national right-leaning momentum post-2025 presidential shift, while UNIDAD (44%), APB Súmate (43.5%), and AP (43%) vie closely in key battlegrounds like La Paz, Beni, and Tarija through competing center-right coalitions. MAS-IPSP languishes at 3% amid internal fractures; endorsements, turnout, or regional autonomy appeals could tip the balance.

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.

A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.

In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.

This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-03-22
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).First-round results from the March 22 subnational elections fragmented Bolivia's nine gubernatorial races, with only Pando (LIBRE at 47%) and Potosí (Alianza Social at 42%) decided outright, leaving seven departments headed to April 19 runoffs amid no candidate surpassing 50% or a 40-point lead. Trader consensus favors LIBRE at 49% implied probability for most wins, driven by its Santa Cruz lead (28%) in the economic hub and national right-leaning momentum post-2025 presidential shift, while UNIDAD (44%), APB Súmate (43.5%), and AP (43%) vie closely in key battlegrounds like La Paz, Beni, and Tarija through competing center-right coalitions. MAS-IPSP languishes at 3% amid internal fractures; endorsements, turnout, or regional autonomy appeals could tip the balance.

Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.

A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.

Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.

A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.

In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.

This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-03-22
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年玻利維亞州長選舉：政黨贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "自由－自由與民主（LIBRE）" at 50%, followed by "人民聯盟（AP）" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年玻利維亞州長選舉：政黨贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年玻利維亞州長選舉：政黨贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年玻利維亞州長選舉：政黨贏家" is "自由－自由與民主（LIBRE）" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "人民聯盟（AP）" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年玻利維亞州長選舉：政黨贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.